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Yash Pakka – (Previously Yash Paper) – Rising from ash (28-12-2023)
What is the status of pledged shares?
RACL Geartech Limited (28-12-2023)
RACL Geartech –
Q2 FY 24 highlights –
Sales @ 103 vs 90 cr
EBITDA @ 25 vs 23 cr ( up 9 pc, Margins at healthy 23 pc )
PAT @ 10 vs 10 cr
Product range –
Transmission gears and Shafts, Sub assemblies
Precision Machined parts
Chasis parts
Industrial gears
Product applications –
2, 3 Wheelers, TVs, CVs, Agri eqpt and industrial gears
Manufacturing facilities – 02
Warehouses – 03 in Europe
Comments from Concall –
Expanding Noida facility with additional leasehold area of 26k sq ft. Commercial production to start from Q1, FY 24. Samples shall be produced in Q4 this yr
Nominated for supply for gearboxes and shafts for a German electric- bicycle player. To be made at the new expanded facility. These are premium bikes costing around 5-7k Euros. These kind of bikes are gaining huge popularity in Europe. The German customer has a patent protected technology for this bike.
Nominated for supply of wheel axle for KTM Austria for their 1300 cc super bike
Another customer of the company – MAN Trucks had some of its projects delayed in the current FY. Company supplies transmission gears and axle shafts to them. By Q4, supplies to MAN trucks should begin. Supplies to MAN should be a big growth driver in FY 25
For FY 24, growth guidance has been moderated to 15-20 pc from earlier guidance of 25 pc. Should go back to 25 pc kind of growth rates wef FY 25. Reason for the same is because the company could not get its hands on gear-grinding machinery ( very high end machinery ) due various supply bottlenecks and shortages in Europe and Japan from where they r imported. Most of the issues now stand resolved
In FY 24 – company is expected to spend 80 cr on Capex. FY 25’s capex plan has not yet been finalised
The newer orders that company is getting have greater degree of value add. Hence there is an upward bias in gross margins
Company’s supplies to BMW’s R-1200
( upgraded now to R-1250 Bikes ) is a high margin, high value addition business. Its likely to continue that way till 2033 !!!
KTM has expanded into China and is doing good business there as well. RACL remains their supplier even for the bikes to be sold in China. This should help RACL grow with KTM
Still aim to hit the Rs 500 cr topline by FY 25 end while maintaining the same margins
The China + 1 sentiment and the high inflation and energy prices in Europe have been a tailwind for the company and other Indian manufacturing companies too
Disc: holding, biased, not SEBI registered
Ranvir’s Portfolio (28-12-2023)
RACL Geartech –
Q2 FY 24 highlights –
Sales @ 103 vs 90 cr
EBITDA @ 25 vs 23 cr ( up 9 pc, Margins at healthy 23 pc )
PAT @ 10 vs 10 cr
Product range –
Transmission gears and Shafts, Sub assemblies
Precision Machined parts
Chasis parts
Industrial gears
Product applications –
2, 3 Wheelers, TVs, CVs, Agri eqpt and industrial gears
Manufacturing facilities – 02
Warehouses – 03 in Europe
Comments from Concall –
Expanding Noida facility with additional leasehold area of 26k sq ft. Commercial production to start from Q1, FY 24. Samples shall be produced in Q4 this yr
Nominated for supply for gearboxes and shafts for a German electric- bicycle player. To be made at the new expanded facility. These are premium bikes costing around 5-7k Euros. These kind of bikes are gaining huge popularity in Europe. The German customer has a patent protected technology for this bike.
Nominated for supply of wheel axle for KTM Austria for their 1300 cc super bike
Another customer of the company – MAN Trucks had some of its projects delayed in the current FY. Company supplies transmission gears and axle shafts to them. By Q4, supplies to MAN trucks should begin. Supplies to MAN should be a big growth driver in FY 25
For FY 24, growth guidance has been moderated to 15-20 pc from earlier guidance of 25 pc. Should go back to 25 pc kind of growth rates wef FY 25. Reason for the same is because the company could not get its hands on gear-grinding machinery ( very high end machinery ) due various supply bottlenecks and shortages in Europe and Japan from where they r imported. Most of the issues now stand resolved
In FY 24 – company is expected to spend 80 cr on Capex. FY 25’s capex plan has not yet been finalised
The newer orders that company is getting have greater degree of value add. Hence there is an upward bias in gross margins
Company’s supplies to BMW’s R-1200
( upgraded now to R-1250 Bikes ) is a high margin, high value addition business. Its likely to continue that way till 2033 !!!
KTM has expanded into China and is doing good business there as well. RACL remains their supplier even for the bikes to be sold in China. This should help RACL grow with KTM
Still aim to hit the Rs 500 cr topline by FY 25 end while maintaining the same margins
The China + 1 sentiment and the high inflation and energy prices in Europe have been a tailwind for the company and other Indian manufacturing companies too
Disc: holding, biased, not SEBI registered
Lloyds Engineering Works Limited (28-12-2023)
With a resilient INR 921 crore order book, (3X FY23 sales), Lloyds
Engineering Works Ltd (LEWL) envisions substantial growth, particularly
in Marine and Civil projects, promising heightened revenue and profit
margins. Strategically investing in capacity enhancement, LEWL solidifies
its financial position as a net cash entity.
Poised to thrive in the infrastructure and capex sector, LEWL strategically
aligns with the anticipated surge in government spending, demonstrating
a keen foresight in capitalizing on opportunities within this burgeoning
industry. Furthermore, through strategic technological collaborations
with industry leaders like The Material Works, Ltd. (TMW), Bhabha Atomic
Research Centre (BARC), and TB Global Technologies Ltd (TBG), LEWL is
poised to innovate and diversify its product portfolio, ensuring a
competitive edge in the evolving market landscape. LEWL is set to issue
6.34 crore equity shares, raising INR 99 cr at a price of 15.5 per share. The
purpose of this issuance is to secure funds for working capital needs.
We expect revenues to grow at a CAGR of 47% to INR 996cr.This
stupendous growth in revenue is expected from:-
• Higher order inflow from marine, steel and special civil engineering
projects.
• LEWL’s Strategic Capacity Boost for Future Revenue Growth
• Strategic positioning in the infrastructure and capex sector,
aligning with a government spending surge
LEWL’s EBITDA and PAT are expected to grow at a CAGR of 59%/66% to INR
209/168 cr respectively. EBITDA and PAT margins are expected to enhance
by 430/500 bps to 21%/16.8% respectively. Subsequently ROE and ROCE
are expected to enhance by 610/750 bps to 24.9%/22.9% respectively
We initiate coverage on LEWL at the CMP of INR 44 per share (28.3X FY26
P/E) with a price target of INR 71 (47x FY26 P/E) per share, representing an
upside potential of 61.4% in the next 24 months
Financial analysis and projections
FY21-23: Remarkable Revenue Growth and Operational Turnaround
Revenues
The company experienced a 111% CAGR in revenues, increasing from INR 70 crore in FY21
to INR 313 crore in FY23
Margins and Profits
Although the company faced operating margin challenges and incurred an EBITDA loss
of INR 10 crore in FY21. The loss was mainly on account of the economic slowdown as a
consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic. It successfully reversed this trend in FY22,
achieving an EBITDA of INR 5 crore, and further improved to INR 52 crore in FY23.
FY23-26E: Diversification, technological alliances, and capacity enhancement
for Enhanced revenues and returns
Revenues
We expect revenues to grow at a CAGR of 47% to INR 996cr.This stupendous growth in
revenue is expected from
Higher order inflow from marine, steel and special civil engineering projects.
• LEWL’s exclusive technical tie-up with The Material Works co (TMW) for Eco
Pickled Surface (EPS Gen 4) Technology grants a competitive edge, allowing
LEWL to capture a larger market share in India and Bangladesh by offering
advanced, eco-friendly pickling solutions, driving revenue growth.
• The strategic agreement with TB Global Technologies, Japan, positions LEWL to
expand its product offerings, tap into a broader market, and contribute to
Atmanirbhar Bharat, fostering revenue growth through diversified solutions and
increased market share.
• LEWL’s Desalination technology deal with BARC opens up a new revenue stream
with long-term order potential
LEWL’s Strategic Capacity Boost for Future Revenue Growth
LEWL’s strategic capacity enhancement through a INR 40 crore investment in FY23
signifies a forward-thinking approach, boosting its capability to meet growing demand
and drive revenue growth
EBITDA and PAT
LEWL’s EBITDA and PAT are expected to grow at a CAGR of 59%/66% to INR 209/168 cr
respectively. EBITDA and PAT margins are expected to enhance by 430/500 bps to
21%/16.8% respectively.
Return ratios
Subsequently ROE and ROCE are expected to enhance by 610/750 bps to 24.9%/22.9%
respectively
Note: No recommendation, pl do your own study; Not Invested
KPI Green- Turning Sunshine Into Cashflows (28-12-2023)
Same here. Couldn’t agree more
IDFC First Bank Limited (28-12-2023)
Holding could be going up due to the merger and not due to secondary buying.
IDFC First Bank Limited (28-12-2023)
The attached news is very interesting. Seems like more buying to come in next few days.
Kotak Mahindra Bank – Low Cost Liability Banking Franchise (28-12-2023)
may be true… but mean reversion is also a possibility…as rates have reached peak and possible to go down in the coming quarters.