Numbers from investors PPT and screener are not matching.
Sales 2021 – 500 CR
Sales 2023 – 800 Crore
They are projecting life time high of 1000 Cr sales for FY24 and are on track
Numbers from investors PPT and screener are not matching.
Sales 2021 – 500 CR
Sales 2023 – 800 Crore
They are projecting life time high of 1000 Cr sales for FY24 and are on track
Thanks for your comments. I don’t want to drag this further. However, I will recommend these books and readings –
I am giving a screenshot (excerpt) of this book for your reference (please read the definition of N in the screenshot):
Now if we want, we can argue with Modigliani and Miller who actually won the Nobel Prize why they called that period as competitive advantage period.
Minimum investment in any Portfolio Management Scheme is 50Lakhs. It’s SEBI mandated. I am looking to reach that mark in free cash and just leave that money in a PMS.
Mutual funds will not give you much returns
I was going through the Q2 concall and it really gave very negative impressions to me. The CFO and CEO kept saying one standard phrase “we cannot give forward looking guidance, we do not know how it will pan out, we do not know how much would be the demand from customers”.
One can understand that the business is such that you cannot earn regular fixed revenue contracts but being the KMP running the show, you must be having fair idea of what can be the trajectory, the expected pick-up or consolidation in business!
They looked very defensive and appeared to be in no mood to make the interaction fruitful. Infact they did not talk about numbers at all! All they said was, at best, generic vague statements!
Radhesh Welling has resigned, Promoter holding is at 28%, No guidance/ affirmation from Management in the concall and a clear expression of not meeting the FY24 revenue guidance!! I know chemical space is in trouble at the moment, but the Management can soothe some nerves on the concalls, which was not the case here!
I would be really happy if someone from the forum can also share their views on the concall. Maybe I took some of the comments, the other way!! (Who knows)
Disclosure: Invested around current price. No buy/ sell recommendation.
Please update the sheet based on announcement.
Here is my updated portfolio:
I haven’t calculated XIRR because many of the stocks in the portfolio are recent buys.
The thing that you are calling “competitive advantage period” is referred to as “market-implied forecast period” at the linked website. Unfortunately, the website does not seem to have described the meaning of this phrase in detail like it has described other phrases like “Net Working Capital” by breaking the phrases into “component parts”.
Now, an investor’s view may agree or disagree with what is “market implied”. The investor may believe that the market is overvaluing the competitive strength of the company, or is undervaluing.
Market implied forecast period cannot be used as a parameter to compute the target price. Doing so will overestimate the target price for already overpriced stocks.
Disclosure: I have tracking position in SBCL.
The govt vision is clear. Company margins are extremely good. If India is aiming to be a product export based economy, the maritime sector has to be invigorated. With MNC conglomorates taking huge bets by strategic investments in India, prospects of auto/EV exports, UK FTA, Australia will result in huge cargo volumes. Some interesting topics for connecting the dots.
https://www.msn.com/en-in/autos/news/uk-seeks-duty-concessions-on-evs-with-india/ar-AA1k4yZE
Hi Sahil,
When my friend introduced me to VP, luckily one of the earliest posts which I checked was your thesis on Pix transmission, it changed my perception on stock markets. If your are ever starting a fund, the only thing I’ll be checking is the minimum investment that is required.
With regards to picking NPST, how do you check the margin of safety in such cases, or would you be ignoring it considering scalability?
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