Please delete if deemed irrelevant.
My question is, HBL Power has been performing good and there’s visibility of growth as well. Despite of that there is hardly any institutional holding and for a 8000 cr market cap company the number of shareholders is over 2 lakh. What is holding back the institutional shareholders or even HNIs to take above 1% stake.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
HBL POWER SYSTEMS: Booting-up for the Race of the Century (06-11-2023)
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (06-11-2023)
Sector-wise companies/stocks were available on money control. You may want to check that out.
Pragnesh’s portfolio (06-11-2023)
Sir, Prevest is down by 11%. Is it something to do with preferential treatment to the leadership team who is a kin of promoters? Have you got out of Prevest?
Gensol Engineering – A play on Energy Transition (Solar Energy & EV) (06-11-2023)
For those who have started tracking this business recently, the management has guided for EV rollouts multiple times, and has been extending timelines for almost a year now.
Firstly, it was Q3 FY 2023: (Source: October 2022 investor presentation)
Then it was Jan 2023. Some media links below:
Gensol Ventures Into EV Market With Manufacturing Plant In Pune (saurenergy.com)
Then, it was July, 2023:
EV growth: Gensol Engineering aims to roll out 10-12,000 cars starting July (cnbctv18.com)
Then, a video was released of the Gensol EV factory around September 2023:
Breaking Ground: Gensol Electric Vehicles’ Futuristic Manufacturing Facility – YouTube
Now a news article mentioning Jan 2024 as release timeline. (refer thread above)
So, for now, management has lost a few points on meeting guidance and execution. However, this is a complex playing field and there is more happening under the hood than what meets the public eye (I would like to believe that for now).
Looking forward to the developments here.
P.S. – Other lines of business (EPC and EV leasing) are firing all cylinders.
Disclosure : Invested.
Maruti Suzuki – Leader in Passenger Vehicles (06-11-2023)
Maruti’s Game plan seems to be playing out very well.
(1) Strategy -1
Not in a hurry to introduce EV during this ongoing euphoric period when the cost stricture, supply chain for EV is not yet well established…Maruti did not get allured by lower GST of 5% GST as against 48% for petrol. Perhaps their objective of offering a people’s low cost EV car may not have worked out in spite of lower GST of 5% being offered by Govt.
Also uncertainty about Govt’s lower GST offer for EV- How long Govt can give subsidy?
So , roll out EV only after dust settle down & EV supply chain gets stabilised and their own EV battery plant in Gujarat starts producing EV batteries. They are aiming only 30% EV of their portfolio by 2030.
(2) Strategy -2
Diesel vehicles are notorious in releasing SPM/RSPM in to air and Maruti realised this ahead of other peers that diesel it is not a sustainable technology and sooner or later it has to be banned.
So Phase out completely Diesel vehicles- first in the Industry to take a bold step. This strategy is also playing out well. Delhi has banned diesel vehicles and many cities like Mumbai which are heavily polluted may also ban disel cars and sooner or later many other cities may take similar curbs.
So who is likely to gain – EV, Petrol , CNG ,
(3)Strategy 3
Maruti’s EV strategy is as per strategy 1
So how does it perform and execute its business Goals.
Focus on petrol Hybrids and CNG. This strategy has also played out well.
On CNG , Maruti had the first mover advantage in rolling out it’s CNG range…They are the market leaders as OEM of CNG cars since last 12 years and now it is accelerating at a faster pace aiming to sell 4,50,000 CNG cars this fiscal. These cars can run with CBG as well They have now collaborated with Gujarat milk federation to produce Bio gas – CBG from cow dung to fuel Maruti Cars in place of CNG
(4) Strategy 4
: Partner with Toyota to get Hybrid technology initially and then later switch to Flexi Hybrids.
This technology allows Ethanol to be used in place of petrol.in all possible ratio’s.
Maruti’s smart hybrids now selling like a hot cake as many customers find the advantage over EV with regards to Range and charging infrastructure.
So currently , Hybrids and CNG is 40% of it’s total sales
And Look at the growth rate of Hybrids cars in India ?
It is almost equals the EV cars in spite of the fact that EV carries 5 % GST and Hybrids carry 43% GST…
So who moved my cheese ?
By the time peers like TML & others in the industry have realised this …it is too late to catch up. yes, CNG- many have already started …but Hybrids …right now many like TML yet to come out with a Hybrids.
Look at what RC Bhargava said on Q2 results
Discl : Invested , may be biased. please do your own assessment before investing
Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) (06-11-2023)
Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) released their power market performance for October 2023. Here are the key points:
- Electricity Volume and Overall Volume Growth:
- IEX achieved 9,260 million units (MU) of electricity volume in October 2023, which marks a substantial 21% increase compared to the same month in the previous year (YoY).
- The overall volume traded during October, including renewable energy certificates (RECs) and energy saving certificates (ESCerts), also increased significantly, with an 18% YoY growth.
- Increased Energy Consumption:
- The release mentions that in October 2023, the country’s energy consumption reached 139 billion units, indicating a substantial 22% YoY increase.
- This increase in energy consumption is attributed to a surge in electricity demand, below-average rainfall for the month, and a lower base from the same period the previous year.
- Day-Ahead Market Prices:
- Due to the surge in power demand, Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices on IEX increased substantially to Rs. 6.45 per unit, showing a remarkable 68% YoY increase.
- Market Segments:
- The media release provides details on various market segments:
- The Day-Ahead Market (DAM) volume increased to 4,742 MU in October 2023, showing an 8.3% YoY growth.
- The Real-Time Electricity Market (RTM) volume increased to 2,402 MU, reflecting a 6.1% YoY increase.
- Day Ahead Contingency and Term-Ahead Market (TAM) traded 1,911 MU during October ’23, a notable increase of 207.6% YoY.
- Green Market:
- The IEX Green Market, including the Green Day-Ahead and Green Term-Ahead Market segments, achieved 188 MU volume during October ’23.
- The Green Day-Ahead Market achieved 180.80 MU volume with a weighted average price of Rs 6.37 per unit and saw participation from 194 market participants.
- The Green Term-Ahead Market achieved 7.23 MU volume in October ’23 with an average monthly price of Non-Solar at Rs 8.40/unit.
- Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs):
- A total of 2.17 lac RECs (equivalent to 217 MU) were cleared in trading sessions held on 11th and 25th October ’23, at clearing prices of Rs. 380/REC and Rs. 420/REC, respectively.
- Upcoming REC trading sessions are scheduled on 8th November ’23 and 29th November ’23.
- Energy Saving Certificates (ESCerts):
- In October ’23, 5,814 ESCerts (equivalent to 5.8 MU) were traded on IEX at the floor price of Rs. 1,840 per ESCert.
Krishca Ltd : A SME offering steel strapping Solution (06-11-2023)
Trade receivables growth more than sales growth, while the trade payables has reduced. Company seems to be having cash flow issues. Even the tax paid is 0.
Not happy with the accounting standards.
Disc – Exited for now and tracking
Surat Equity Group (06-11-2023)
Thank you Prashant, lets wait for some more replies before we finalise and move further.
Common Man’s Portfolio (06-11-2023)
Portfolio Update: Overall at ATH driven by Credit Access, NDR Auto
Exits: Sold NDR Auto fully. Company is still doing good but growth and opportunities lies elsewhere for me. Carysil full exit waiting for US Fed to start decreasing the rates. moreover I need cash as I mentioned earlier.
Increase in allocation: AMI Organics, CIE Automotive, Shivalik Bimetal
RE-Entry: MAS Financial
Fresh Entry: GAEL around 280. moderating maize prices and Capex will start materializing in coming quarters.
Swing Trade: Did some trade in Lancer Containers for 20-30% gains
- Credit Access(35%)
- Shivalik Bimetal(15%)
- Gujarat themis(12%)
- AMI Organics(10%)
- CIE Auto(10%)
- GAEL(6%)
- MAS(3%)
- Gufic(1.5%)
Rest Cash.