Wondering why the debt to equity is > 2. No guidance on reducing the debt given so far if i am not mistaken.

Hello amazing people of VP,

Back after a long hiatus.

I am currently running a SEBI RA firm. Have learned a lot from the community and applying lessons learned here and through investing. I have a better grasp of playing commodities/cyclicals vs highly moated companies as compared to 2020 since I have been doing this full time.

I would like to discuss themes/sectors:

Extreme Euphoria (Price Increase):

1. Railways
2. Infra
3. Capital Goods
4. Financial Services
5. Smallcap IT

Basically, Govt spending and credit growth were the reasons for the same.

Consolidation/Downward Trajectory (Decent Valuations):

1. Chemicals (Agro+Specialty+Commodity)
2. Pharma
3. Shrimp Companies
4. Battery Manufacturers (Since the top two listed players are entering Li-ion batteries as well)
5. Alcohol manufacturers
6. Textiles

Many sectors/stocks are currently at frothy valuations. Now is the time to invest where there is pain (demand issue at present with foreseeable growth in the next 2 years).

I would highly recommend these 2 videos and basically this channel in itself for great insights into various sectors/industries:

1. https://youtu.be/6xh2LPlBLi8?si=fvgqPTf1MrOpkBCb – Chemical Sector: Pessimism An Opportunity?? A Masterclass Session by Aditya Shah, Sekhar, Jiten Parmar & Ravikant

2. https://youtu.be/O3-Emzv-Xe0?si=i1Mn4Tjvr9pFpYgp – Banking And Financial Services Masterclass | Aditya Shah, Vineet Bhatia, Ravikant, Falak Kalyani

Also, SOIC Channel – https://www.youtube.com/@SOICfinance is gold (for the uninitiated).

What are your views/thoughts on the same? Any sectors you would like to add to the extreme euphoria OR consolidation/current pessimism segments?

CUP & HANDLE PATTERN BREAKOUT LIVE EXAMPLE | CUP & HANDLE CHART PATTERN HINDI | TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Refer to this video, but see this video for knowledge only and don’t do trading without knowledge in technical analysis and only use technical analysis for best entry in stock which you have analysed fundamentally.Because majority of people loose money in trading.

These corrporates to views of @jitenp

@Abha I can share part of it…these are subscription based 50 page weekly reports.
Following are comments on one of the PE grade… these comments are more or less similar since many weeks and similar to other PE grades as well …like LLDPE, HDPE and others.

Following link is another good read on supply of PE.

China continues to pour money during this Overcapacity and weak demand cycle for commodity chemicals.

It is not mystery as to why they are still pumping money into petrochemical capex, They plan to move from making more basic petrochemicals for polyester fabrics and plastic packaging to manufacturing higher value products solar, EV,Wind etc.

As per my understanding from news and noises, I presume analysts predict demand and capacity rebalance in 2025.

According to me, Especially for packaging products end-use demand remains key and its relating to existing higher interest rate conditions.

I might be negatively biased, Especially for export demands.