Any guess on what could be the right price?? Near term looks glim but 2 years down the line seems great.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
The SME portfolio (09-10-2024)
In theory it is quite possible but you should consider the markets we are in and the valuations.
The valuations have low chances of getting more expensive than current rates (not considering results).
Also the companies who have high chances of posting remarkable growth, market is already discounting it at forward results (6 months to even 3 years)
So the window is very scarce in the SME segment at the moment. (Do note that few genuine SMEs will have some X times returns and some random operated SMEs will have unreal returns)
And be very cautious with the companies you choose in the current environment (if things went downhill, upto 80% fall can’t be ruled out)
Raymond – The Complete Man (09-10-2024)
For the Raymond Realty business, I hold a good position and I am thinking of having a track of certain growth variables. For now, from the available information from previous investor presentations, here are the details known to me:
– Revenue bifurcation is available for Real Estate and Engineering division:
With that information from ppts, I could derive Q1 FY25 nos for revenue and growth % YOY.
In a Separate press release, Management gave following guidance:
- Guidance in %:
- Guidance Rev: “The company expects to end the year just ended with bookings of over ₹2,000 crore, compared with ₹1,500 crore year ago.”
Tracking Data
Armed with above information, I have made following tracking table:
I’ll be looking into next presentation and update the notes.
Sterling & Wilson Solar Ltd. – Will the Sun Keep Shining? (09-10-2024)
Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy’s share price has recently dropped significantly, falling 23.5% over the past month. This decline is primarily attributed to the promoters selling a substantial stake in the company, which has raised concerns among investors about the company’s future prospects. On September 28, 2024, the promoters sold shares worth Rs 1 billion, with Shapoorji Pallonji holding a 12.7% stake and Khurshed Yazdi Daruvala holding 1.5% as of June 30, 2024.
The ongoing reduction of promoter holdings—from 69% in June 2023 to 52.9% by June 2024—has exacerbated investor anxiety, leading to further selling pressure. Promoters typically have insider knowledge of a company’s value, so their stake sales can signal a lack of confidence in future growth.
Despite these challenges, Sterling and Wilson is focusing on expanding its operations and maintaining a strong presence in both domestic and international markets. The company aims to achieve Rs 80 billion in revenue this fiscal year and is optimistic about growth in solar installations due to increasing demand for renewable energy and government initiatives.
The company’s financial health remains robust, with decreasing net debt and a growing operations and maintenance (O&M) portfolio, which is expected to provide stability over the next 12-18 months.
Godrej Properties – Brand, Business model & Scale (09-10-2024)
Thank you @bheeshma for the insight. I’ll follow the guidance.
I’ll be tracking these numbers going forward. I have put up following in my notes.
Once again, Thank you for patiently answering my queries and helping out!
Deepak Nitrite (09-10-2024)
what about the product spreads? How/where do you’ll track their product spreads?
I heard that phenol spreads bottomed out 2-3 months ago and so did the promoter bought.
And since a lot of capex is going to come live, i wanted to track the key raw materials and end products they use/produce.
Lincoln Pharma … the next mid-cap pharma in the making …? (09-10-2024)
Is it a red flag if a company has over ₹139 crores invested in stocks?
NPST – Technology Provider for UPI Tech (09-10-2024)
For Sep it’s not part of Top 15. Which means it has fallen below the 38.28 Mn volume of 15th ranked player Central Bank of India. Not a good sign. Market would like an explanation.
Tata Power Limited (09-10-2024)
Wind Turbine Capex picks momentum
- Tata Power has sought bids for the supply of wind turbines with a total capacity of 3 gigawatts. The wind turbines will be installed at the company’s renewable energy facilities across the country in the next three to five years, the report said.
- Suzlon is one of the listed company in the race for the bid.
- Tata Power Targets 20GW Renewable energy capacity by 2030. Current – 10.5 GW (Double)
Read more at: Tata Power Seeking Bids For ₹21,000 Cr Order, Suzlon, Siemens In Fray: Report – Benzinga
CDSL – Stock for our children (09-10-2024)
I have put this up in my notes. I will be tracking these growth variables going forward. Thank you!
