Hi siddarth, I do not know the exact answer, but I’ll tell how I think of it sometimes I look at developed countries and certain industries and how they developed and I just see if there is a company like that in India and it is not possible always but I try to see parallels among them. I would like to give 2 examples : CDSL and CRISIL.
See in USA, the participation of everybody in the capital markets is a lot and only increasing but not decreasing almost 25-30% of an american family’s net worth is exposed to equities directly or indirectly.
In India, which has a heavy bias towards real estate and gold, only 4% of Indian wealth is exposed to equities. As financial literacy increases, and more capital is exposed to equities the capital markets and the companies related to the market will benefit. This is a structural trend I believe and being one of the only 2 depositories, CDSL is bound to have a long runway for growth.
Previously 2 decades back the accountability of listed companies was very low and even today I would say it is not up to the mark. As the financial industry and capital markets mature, ratings companies of India will progress just like S&P and Fitch ratings of USA. Even today many mid cap and small cap companies have dubious ratings companies and these unconsolidated players will lose market share and both the pie of the ratings industry becomes bigger as well as the pie share of the big players will also increase. According to me these are long term structural trends.
This is my personal opinion I would love to hear any other person’s take on this
Posts tagged Value Pickr
How to read better to catch long term structural trends? (29-09-2024)
Kitex Garments Limited (29-09-2024)
Thanks for replying, Did they also mention mode of acquisition ? And by when can we expect telengana unit production to reach at the optimum level?
Rajeesh’s Portfolio (29-09-2024)
Also VP is good forum to discuss. However if you are investing your hardearned money, please also study on the side from YT or do some good courses.
Good start –
Subscribe to daily letter of Finshots, Groww Digest etc.
Follow some YT channels namely – Vivek Bajaj, Vivek Singhal, Sahil. They are enough to make you self established. And also below course is an add on.
The Ultimate Stock Market Course | Beginner to Pro Fundamental & Technical Shares Analysis
Rajeesh’s Portfolio (29-09-2024)
A portfolio of around ₹1 crore can ideally have a maximum of 33 stocks but i see you have 39 approx. However, if you’ve been investing for 9 months with ₹70k per stock, I would suggest starting with around 15 stocks initially. Once you’ve reached about ₹3 lakh per stock/ if in equal percentage, you can gradually diversify further. But even with diversification, it’s best to cap your portfolio at 30-33 stock holdings to maintain a balanced and manageable approach.
Olectra Greentech – Electric Bus Opportunity (29-09-2024)
Anyone has bus registration data for Q1 2024 for Olectra?
Smallcap momentum portfolio (29-09-2024)
@kuldeep_agarwal NSE notification attached.
ind_prs23082024.pdf (770.4 KB)
Ranvir’s Portfolio (29-09-2024)
Sir one such risk in this company is they have fixed price contract, so RM volitility can hit their margins, please add other risk that you know, as i also like the business, but have no positions yet.
DCB Bank – Steady performer (29-09-2024)
Have been invested for some time and track on spare times. I don’t think we’ll get great ROE from this bank like we see in other private banks. Having said that, a very good possibility of consistent 12-13% ROE is highly possible in near future. The management’s comments of 14% ROE from 1% ROA doesn’t look feasible I feel. Future is obviously open. At this point of time, small ticket sizes of the loans, mostly doing collaterals and ability to recover slippages has been evident. Assuming company won’t grow like HDFC Bank during its younger days, at the same time, they can still grow at a reasonable rate, and I feel current valuations are very cheap for a company with steady growth and possibility of higher growth in the future.
Disc: Invested.
Rajeesh’s Portfolio (29-09-2024)
I think you should reduce number of stock.You have to spend lots of energy and time to manage this portfolio.You may choose your one best stock from one sector instead of buying two or more stocks from same sector.
Shivalik Bimetal Controls Ltd (SBCL) (29-09-2024)
Thanks @dd1474 for the prompt notes back for VP community. Wish more & more folks follow your example of bringimng everyone on the same page, quicker
From what was shared by SBCL Management in initial remarks and in the more detaiuled Q&A that followed, let me share key takeaways from my side – that move the needle the most, in my book. Please NOTE, I have liberally added my own connect-the-dots (italicised) interpretations to what i heard.
Shivalik Bimetal AGM 2024 Sep 26 Key Takeaways from a medium term perspective
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Notwithstanding where the Auto/EV Market (SBCL business mainstay) revival stands, SBCL has invested in fructifying other growth drivers to start delivering within the next 6months to a year, that will start bringing in significant contributions in the medium term.
a) Forward integration to Current Sensing PCB modules (new factory will cater to this and other such value added segments as these will require a different set of processes/automation than components/strips) (interestingly this has been a customer-driven demand for long)
b) India Bimetals should be a big driver of growth in the medium term in tandem with the exploding growth in datacenters and energy storage requirements. Switchgear segment will move the needle here. Schneider and ABB relationships are going strong. Schneider Electric to invest Rs 3,200 crore to make India manufacturing hub
c) US Bimetals set to come back in a big way given the massive incentives underway in the US for setting up huge industrial capacities (destocking is mostly done, consequently power & energy management solutions demand exploding). Eaton 2024 Partner Conference Product Roadmap
If 2023 AGM/Mumbai meet excitement communication was around new EBW Shunts relationships (other than Vishay) scaling up, 2024 AGM excitement in SBCL Team certainly is in above 3 segments by my reading. Request VP domain experts like @GourabPaul and others in the wider invest community to help do more diligence and share back here at VP
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Hella and Continental relationships NOT scaling up. This is not related so much to EV slowdown as to Supplu chain getting shifted out of China. SBCL was hitherto dealing with program managers from China and the entire validation process there; now with the supply chaion shifting back to Europe(?) SBCL had to start dealing afresh with an entirely new set of program managers/validation process. A likely deferment of 6-9 months. FY26 should start seeing traction back