Any idea what is the difference between Kavach 3.2 and Kavach 4.0 ?
Posts tagged Value Pickr
SG Finserve Ltd – Does it has a scalable business? (25-06-2024)
Scalability might be a question, that we will have to see, but i don’t think the market of supply chain financing can get saturated as early as 2000 crore, isse jyada to bahut saari nbfcs ka quarterly profit hota h, unfortunately there is no concall, so specific question related to this cannot be raised with the management. And it seems a bit tough to digest to me that given the experience of the team, saturation can come this easily.
Hindustan Adhesive Ltd- Mispriced bet with strong growth visibility? (25-06-2024)
Ashav,
Are you still following this company?
Any idea on the reason for their selling the bopp shrink film business to bagla polifim for mere 2.45cr when the topline contribution was 18.7 cr ?
Also, any idea on their capacity utilisation and expansion plans ?
Thanks
Important metrics to predict stock price (25-06-2024)
I don’t have much knowledge in this analysis
just now start to learn
Important metrics to predict stock price (25-06-2024)
What is stage analysis in stock
Stage analysis is a method used in technical analysis to evaluate the phases of a stock’s price movement over time. Developed by Stan Weinstein in his book “Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets,” stage analysis breaks down a stock’s lifecycle into four distinct stages:
Stage 1:
Accumulation Phase Characteristics:
This phase occurs after a prolonged downtrend or a bear market. The stock’s price stabilizes and moves sideways in a range. Volume may decrease as fewer traders are interested in the stock.
Investor Activity:
Long-term investors and insiders may start accumulating shares quietly, anticipating a future uptrend.
Stage 2:
Advancing Phase (Bull Market)Characteristics:
The stock breaks out of the accumulation phase with increased volume, signaling the beginning of an uptrend. This stage is characterized by higher highs and higher lows, with the stock price steadily rising.
Investor Activity:
Momentum traders and institutional investors typically enter during this phase, driving the price higher.
Stage 3:
Distribution Phase Characteristics:
After a substantial uptrend, the stock’s price begins to stall and move sideways again.
This phase often features increased volatility and higher trading volumes as smart money starts distributing (selling) their holdings.
Investor Activity:
Early investors and institutional players begin to offload their positions, anticipating a downturn.
Stage 4:
Declining Phase (Bear Market)Characteristics:
The stock’s price starts to decline, making lower highs and lower lows. Volume may increase as panic selling and short selling become prevalent.
Investor Activity:
Selling pressure mounts, and many investors exit their positions to avoid further losses.
By identifying these stages, traders and investors can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit a position. Understanding which stage a stock is in helps anticipate potential price movements and adjust strategies accordingly.
DIY Momentum QnA and Discussion (25-06-2024)
In momentum factor series I am covering today earnings momentum:
It involves selecting stocks that have demonstrated positive earnings surprises or upward earnings revisions. The idea is that companies with better-than-expected earnings or increasing earnings forecasts are likely to continue performing well in the future, as they may indicate strong business performance and investor confidence.
For example, suppose a company’s quarterly earnings were expected to be ₹10 per share, but the actual earnings came in at ₹12 per share. This positive earnings surprise might attract more investors, driving the stock price higher. Similarly, if analysts revise their earnings forecasts upward for a company, it suggests optimism about the company’s future prospects, potentially leading to increased demand for its stock.
A practical implementation of this strategy could be:
- Identify companies that have recently reported earnings higher than analyst expectations.
- Look for companies where analysts have revised their earnings estimates upward.
- Invest in these companies, anticipating that the positive momentum in earnings will translate into higher stock prices.
For instance, if Company A was expected to earn ₹15 per share in the upcoming quarter but is now projected to earn ₹18 per share due to strong business performance, an investor following an earnings momentum strategy might buy shares of Company A, expecting that the stock price will rise as more investors become aware of the improved earnings outlook.
Important metrics to predict stock price (25-06-2024)
Nice thread there. I wanted to gather your thoughts on Stage analysis
Curious Case of Coal India (25-06-2024)
Aarti Pharma Labs (25-06-2024)
Im creating a research report on corporate governance on this company, can someone help me improve my understanding so far.
Hetal Gogri is appointed as MD along with Narenda Salvi
Mr Rashesh and Mr Rajendra Gogri (Who seems to be the most capable ones serving as MD in Aarti Industries) are appointed as Non Ex Directors,
Apart from Narenda Salvi, MD doesn’t seem to have any Pharma experience though she has an IIM Ahmedabad degree with Engineering background.
Moreover, During Concall Mr Rashesh was giving most of the answers while the MD was passed on with softball questions.
Lastly, regarding renumeration it was quite normal compared to peers KMP salary to Median employee wages
Please help me improve my understand!
Thanks
Burger King ~ Whopper of an Opportunity (25-06-2024)
on account of IND AS 116 accounting where they have to derive interest and depreciation from lease payables payables separately.