@gauravpersonal absolutely agree. Should still be given 1-1.5 years. The tailwinds are strong and we can’t discount that he’s a very good capital allocator The results by no means were bad. Plus what’s in pipeline if it materialises, then there’s no looking back.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Macpower CNC Machines: Manufacturing a Strong Growth? (19-11-2024)
In my humble opinion the current base is too small in context to the total order book of all the listed companies ( close to 8000 cr or 1 billion ). The good news is that the bigger listed companies are doing extremely ie. the sector is doing well.
One good order of close to 100 crores and it can change the face of the Profit and loss statement.
For that reason, sitting tight. It should do well by March FY26. ( 1.5 years ) keen to look at this YOY going forward.
He is still certainly a champion capital allocator, just needs some luck and orders in his name.
Insecticides India A stock with good Opportunity size (19-11-2024)
Insecticides India –
Q2 FY 25 results and concall highlights –
Revenues – 627 vs 696 cr, down 10 pc
Gross Margins @ 31 vs 25 pc
EBITDA – 90 vs 82 cr, up 9 pc ( margins @ 14 vs 12 pc )
PAT – 62 vs 53 cr, up 16 pc
Product wise sales breakup –
Insecticides – 61 vs 49 pc
Herbicides – 21 vs 34 pc
Fungicides – 15 vs 13 pc
Biologics – 4 vs 4 pc
Sales breakup by segment –
B2C – 84 vs 71 pc
B2B – 14 vs 26 pc
Exports – 2 vs 3 pc
Premium products : Plain generic product sales in B2C segment @ 64 : 36 vs 61 : 39 YoY ( this is a healthy sign )
Manufacturing footprint –
2 – Active ingredients plants
6 – Formulation plants
1 – Biologics plant
4 – R&D centers
Company’s product basket –
Herbicides – 34 products
Insecticides – 51 products
Fungicides – 13 products
Biologics – 11 products
Some of company’s leading brands include –
Lethal – Anti-Termite ( a leading, 37 yr old brand )
Shinwa – Insecticide ( in-licensed from Nissan )
Torry – Herbicide
Hachiman – Herbicide ( in-licensed from Nissan )
Pulsor – Fungicide ( in-licensed from Nissan )
Green Label – Herbicide
Hercules – Insecticide
Mission – Insecticide
Excessive rains in Q2 led to a lot of spraying opportunity losses in Q2. However, the reservoir levels are very healthy which should mean a good Rabi season
At present, company has 11 Focus Maharana products. These r high growth, high margin products ( mostly with Pan India presence ). Aim is to keep graduating more products from Maharatna to Focus Maharatna category. Maharatna products are currently smaller with regional presence. These Maharatna + Focus Maharatna products have gross margins > 40 pc vs 15 pc for plain vanilla generics
Expect to see descent pick up in B2B and Export sales in H2. B2C sales continue to remain strong
Sales return in Q2 was around 40 cr ( mainly herbicides ). Expecting sales return of another 10 cr ( mainly insecticides ) in Q3. Sales return is a normal phenomenon in the agrochemicals Industry
Inventory levels in the Mkt are at normal levels
According to the management, some of the AI prices have touched their 20-25 yr lows. They don’t foresee prices falling any further ( but with the Chinese dumping, one never knows – personal opinion )
In Q2, Maharatna + Focus Maharatna products witnessed a volume growth of 10 pc. Plain Generics witnessed a volume de-growth of 13 pc
As such, company’s focus is on premium products and they intend to keep increasing their share in the sales
Company is confident of growing both topline and bottomline in H2
Guiding for a flattish topline with double digit margins for full FY
LY exports for full FY were at 105 cr. This FY, company has already received orders worth 105 cr. More orders are likely to flow into the company. Basically – exports should do well in H2
Company has received a new exclusive In-Licensed product from Nissan. Likely launch should be in Mar-Apr 25
As the share of pure vanilla generics keep reducing YoY, company’s margins should keep inching up ( IMO – this can be a positive trigger for the company in medium term )
Have lined up 6 product launches for H2. Three of them are going to be Maharatna products
Dsic: holding, added more recently, biased, not SEBI registered, not a buy/sell recommendation
Tinna rubber – recycling a rubbery growth path (19-11-2024)
Is there something which normal investors are not aware , because its hitting its 5% LC quiet often
NPST – Technology Provider for UPI Tech (19-11-2024)
I agree, I have worked as a Product Owner in Fintech sector for long and some of these features are amazing. Also, the management seems forward thinking and adapting to rapidly changing technology.
I don’t have much info about competitors so unable to share deeper insights and would request if anyone has insights on same to please share.
Here are some of calculations:
Current PE-114, Profit ( TTM) ( Sep ’23 – Sep’24)–50 Crores, Market Cap– 5700 Crores
FY’25( Projections based on Management Commentary)
Profit – 85 Crores, PE- 100, Market Cap—8500 Crores
FY’26 ( Projections based on Management Commentary)
Profit– 150 Crores ( 80% growth over FY’25), PE- 70, Market Cap— 10,500 Crores
FY’27 ( Projections based on Management Commentary)
Profit — 240 Crores ( 60% growth over FY’26), PE- 60, Market Cap— 14,400 Crores
What are the flaws in this projection?
I feel considering industry tailwinds and strong management this is doable.
Tinna rubber – recycling a rubbery growth path (19-11-2024)
Something seems to be bothering the markets about this stock. The stock saw nearly 45% correction from its peak level.
By FY 27, the management is aspiring 900 cr. revenues, with 25%+ CAGR in revenues, 33%+ growth in profits, will add 4 additional manufacturing units, 18% EBITDA margins, and 30% ROCE. Though there is a good growth potential for the sector, is the market not convinced about this?
Annapurna Swadisht Ltd – A Swadisht FMCG investment? (19-11-2024)
Hi Bhavnesh
I think the numbers reported are for Annapurna Swadisht only and it does not include the revenue from Madhur Confectionaries.
Please see the below screenshot from the financial results page no. 7:-
The business rather has shown great growth and once the revenue from Madhur Confectionaries starts getting included the growth will be tremendous.
Please correct me if i am wrong.
Thanks
Affle India – India Mobile Internet Advertising Leader (19-11-2024)
Yes, similar service – Acquire + Engage. They are much bigger, maturer and have great industry partnerships.
They also have Adjust, a product for attributing acquisition.
Ugro Capital – Opportunity To Invest in a Fintech-like Company Below Book Value (19-11-2024)
With the recent actions of RBI where they have asked NBFCs to stop business because of charging high rate of interest (among few other reasons) … Isn’t charging such high rate of 20%+ from micro enterprises may also land up NBFCs like UGRO in the same situation.
And in case they will charge less, and cost of fund at such 10% level … ROA will get hit, and accordingly the ROE.
URGO being next Five-Star … seems similar to the story of IDFC First being next HDFC Bank.
Everest Kanto Cylinders Ltd. – A long runway ahead! (19-11-2024)
if you have been following the company then you will realise that nothing reflects good on management of EKC.
Transparency is very low… why they stopped setting up new plant in Gujarat it was not clear neither it is clear why they are going ahead with completion when sales and capacity utilisation in India is low… but stock keeps moving… both ways…