Its looking stable for now in a downward channel, may be there will be better levels to get in if one wants to.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Nandan Denim Limited – No. 1 position in denim play (19-12-2015)
Dear All,
With all due respect.
I use to track this scrip when it was around Rs. 30 (2.5 years back) and bought decent quantity as well but exited at Rs 55.
Few Red flags which I noticed at that time were:
1) At that time there was no separate website. They have one group website.
http://www.chiripalgroup.com/index.php?page=manufacture_home&id=7
2) Other unlisted entities which are also into textile division. Not able to understand why they got listed only one entity and not others.
3) CFO (Mr. sanjay Agarwal) said pledge share was due to loan taken for other group companies but not for NDL.
4) Criminal case against its promoter and other group companies.
http://www.chiripalgroup.com/Right%20Issue-Final%20Lof-14-12-07.pdf
5) Lavish lifestyle of promoter. (This may not be the concern of many but I personally look for it).
Almost after 6 months of my tracking Crisil came out with Buy report and at that time only, long stuck Orange Mauritius Investments Ltd exited from the stock and Globe Capital Market Ltd & New Leaina Investments Ltd entered. Thereafter, promoter started buying and Dolly Khanna (Globe Capital Market Ltd exited) entered in the range of Rs 60-65 from where stock sky rocketed and touched Rs 170.
Contradictory event,
Promoter is buying shares through open market but not releasing its pledge shares rather diluting it through issue of warrants at higher price.
Is below situation possible?
Raise money by pledging shares —— start buying (at lower price) in open market to attract investors——-roped in well known punters and take the price to higher levels——dump the stock either by issue of warrants or QIP at higher price—–Enjoy holiday in Las Vegas…. 
[Just a view]
Regards,
Pix transmissions – low profile microcap company (19-12-2015)
Dics: I am a long term holder of Pix
Now what happened in the stock markets is not our business, but its still doing well, its paying dividends, its creating wealth and most of all Somi Belts is not a real competition as its the only listed Indian company as Pix has foreign promoter and great experience in doing the job, as soon as india picks up, we need machinery and they needs Material Handling that can only happen using belts provided by these guys, they supply many belts for various industries and have a great reputation. I think there will come a day when every Indian company making some thing needs MH and convener belts are going to be used, then you wont get Pix at Market Capt to Cash Flow: 2.18. I am positive the days inventory outstanding will reduce.
MPS Ltd (19-12-2015)
Some Macro Observations :
Currency Benefit
India & Philippines account for bulk of the publishing outsourcing industry. It will be interesting to note respective countries’ currency appreciation/depreciation trend w.r.t. USD and GBP (since these two are the major billing currencies for MPS) :
Key things to note :
— Philippines currency Peso provided the country major advantage till FY09 vis-a-vis INR post which relatively strong INR depreciation v/s both, USD & GBP made India much more competitive than Philippines (only w.r.t. currency we are talking about).
— Peso overall depreciated by average ~15 % v/s USD & GBP in this 15 years of our study whereas INR depreciated by average ~40 % v/s USD & GBP over the same period.
Chennai Floods & H1B Visa controversy Impact on MPS
H1B visa issue might not have material impact on MPS as majority of its overseas staff seems to be local.
Chennai Floods could have an impact on Q3 performance of MPS as ~22 % of its total staff strength is placed in chennai . Also, chennai seems to exclusively cater to LNMS division of MPS as also forms major part of ‘Digital Services’ division which together account for ~14 % of yearly revenue. In addition, it also caters to ‘Books & Journals’.
In absence of any warning from the company, we can’t say for sure whether there will be any impact or not and it could be that major portion of the work might have been temporarily shifted to other locations to avoid any impact. Also, ‘Guindy’ area where MPS facilities are located seems to have been somewhat impacted by floods but to what extent the area was affected that we can’t say unless any VP localite member has any info.
Just to compare, MPS seems to be well placed as compared to many of its peers except Aptara, Innodata and SPi as far as chennai situation goes. Providing below approximate operation size of major publishing outsourcing players from chennai :
Rgds.
Page industries (19-12-2015)
Genomal Bros’ story. Most of it is very well known but a few sentences are reassuring for investors.
‘This is just the beginning of our growth story. The best days of Jockey in India are ahead of it.’
Disc.: Trimmed some % but one of the large holdings.
Portfolio check up (19-12-2015)
This is a good portfolio with concentration of few good businesses.
About Financial stocks, I also feel that, 2 stocks would be sufficient for such concentrated portfolio. HDFC Bank and Repco look solid businesses with low NPA, high ROE and consistent PAT growth.
Addition of any engineering company may add some value to portfolio, and exposure to this sector may give relatively higher returns if economic turn around and infrastructure growth picks up.
Also, addition of auto stock which is reasonably valued can add value to portfolio.
Satin Creditcare Network Ltd – Reaching out! (19-12-2015)
As long as they remain as “NBFC-MFI”, there could be political interference. But with active RBI these days and with passage of MFI bill, these risks would come down. Also, MFI industry does a lot of good for its customers who otherwise have to fall prey to loan sharks. RBI as well as government knows this very well after the AP fiasco. Recent call money scam in AP must also do a lot of good to MFI industry as people would get to know about MFIs who lend with proper regulations in place.
Once these NBFC-MFIs get converted to small bank finance companies and later into universal banks, the political risks will die down. But, for me personally, the moolah is in MFI lending as long as you can keep the NPAs in check and follow proper risk management principles.
Any investment is fraught with inherent risks, we need to take a call weighing the risks vs. reward, according to one’s own risk taking ability and knowledge of that particular sector.
Pix transmissions – low profile microcap company (19-12-2015)
@Girish
Fenner India is the pioneer in India for manufacturing rubber V belt and it is more than 100 years old company. The company was the part of erstwhile Madura Coats.The working of the company was severely affected after taken over by Manuchabria,then infamous take over king.Now Fenner is under the fold of JK Singhania group.and they are taking all measures to bring back the glory. Pix initiated action from 2010 for improvising and development of new products.
If details ofJK Fenner is available comparison with pix can be made.
Kaveri seeds company limited — kscl (19-12-2015)
http://capitalmind.in/2015/12/royalty-mess-at-kaveri-seeds-revisited-3/
Disc: Not invested. Tracking.
Satin Creditcare Network Ltd – Reaching out! (19-12-2015)
Thanks @richdreamz. That’s helpful.
It will be great if you can answer one more of my questions relating to political risk.
Is it possible for a particular state government to impart control over the lendings made by the MFIs?I.e. waivers of loans types.
What I understand it won’t be that easy for the govt. these days after RBIs involvement.
Thanks.