Posts tagged Value Pickr
Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals (03-12-2015)
I agree. Deepak has potential triggers as the HDFC Sec report mentions (cheaper gas, higher availability of gas leading to greater utilization), plus any upside from pick up in mining activity. Even if the technical part does not play out, it is a safer bet.
Also, the subsidy receivables problem that plagues fertilizer companies, including better ones like Coromandel, is less accentuated in the case of Deepak.
Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals (03-12-2015)
The chart u mention in RCF has a narrow cup (ideally we want a rounding cup) and handle corrected more than 50%, something like 61.8% down to 45.5 before recovering.
Having said all that if and when the move comes about it will be a secular move in all companies. Something similar to sugar sector. And this is provided the move materialises.
Many a times in these sectoral moves the more dirty and lagging companies tend to provide the maximum moves. But to be on safer side to avoid too much capital loss in case the thesis doesnt work out, it is better to stick to better quality companies.
TCPL Packaging Ltd. — Statistical Facts & Figures — Views Invited (03-12-2015)
@kunal_patel do u know where do these e commerce companies buy their packing. i thought TCPL was running so high on the basis of new e commerce opportunity
If you CAN’T BOTHER to research/present a BALANCED view with decent RISK assessment, you have NO RIGHTS to start a thread on that business (03-12-2015)
I personally feel VP is getting too stringent now a days. I am from ted days and feel the starting signs of ‘ted cycle’ here. I totally understand the point of protecting small investors and so forth. I think VP should allow posters to have new section to just discuss stocks, which one don’t know much and but would like here from others..
Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals (03-12-2015)
Thanks Hitesh for the detailed reply. I assumed a cup formation in RCF from 19 Aug 2015 to 1 Oct 2015. What is interesting is the abnormal volumes at the right end of the handle (on 27 Nov and 1 Dec). But I maybe wrong as I have just started on technical analysis.
I have covered Deepak Fertilizers. Its a great company, and so is Coromandel,
Yes, on a quarterly results basis, RCF does lag other fertilizer companies. It also lacks the product premiums that Coromandel and Deepak enjoy.
Cupid Ltd – Helping the world play safe! (03-12-2015)
Of course, and this threat is in almost every business now. E.g. Patanjali threat to decade and century old FMCG brands with very strong moat.
So, though I am bullish for long term, I am keeping my eyes and ears open. If there is a credible threat, one can sell the stock whenever it happens.
Ujaas Energy – Value Migration to Solar Power (03-12-2015)
Another order win of 10 MW for 91cr. including O&M from Sardar Sarovar Narmada Nigam at Vadodara.
http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/4CAB68F0_CEE3_4536_8815_7DA1FAF5DBDC_181117.pdf
Cupid Ltd – Helping the world play safe! (03-12-2015)
Agree Vijay. But the risk may be that although the opportunity size is large, there may be many more other players (after getting due licence etc. ofcourse) who may jump into this business and destroy the pricing power/oligopoly of the market. If the new entrant is with deep pockets and better technology it may even bring cupid to knees. Any thoughts on how cupid will be able to sustain or protect moat around it for next 10 years would be welcome.
Disc.: Tracking closely
Cupid Ltd – Helping the world play safe! (03-12-2015)
Not exactly. Short term tax will be lot more than profits on such a trade. Holding long term makes lot of sense in such stocks.
I see cupid as a brilliant business for next 10 years. The female condoms is a relatively new product. Opportunity size is large. It may shift some of the business consumer facing. 30 pe is actually not a high valuation.
Holding since 110 levels