As per the company the current capacity is 40 crore male condoms and 1.5 crore female condoms which could be equivalent to revenue of approximately,
(all in crores - price assumption as below)
(40 crore pieces *5 INR per piece) + (1.5 crore pieces *20 INR per piece) = 230 crore. FY15 Revenue 45 crore and FY 16E revenue 60 crore. Which means the company needs no capex until it becomes 3 times the current size?
Did not assume that a portion of male condom facility will be converted to female, in which case the revenue at 100% utilisation will be more than the above estimates.
Assumed a male condom price realisation to be 5 INR per piece and female condom to be 20 INR per piece.
Please suggest if there are any loopholes in the above calculation? There seems to be vast underutilisation of capacity as we speak. So company can take large orders without sweating if my above calculation is somewhere near to reality. @RajeevJ ji would be in a better position to offer some insights here.