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Posts tagged Value Pickr

Thomas Cook India-Will it move like Warren Buffet Stock (23-09-2015)

Agree that thomas cook generates majortiy profit from Quess Corporation.

But what I understand is Thomas Cook itself generate free cash flow and enjoys Forex market with 52% market share and also performing well on corporate holidays.

Prem Wasta is using this cash flow from thomas cook to buy business which are generating free cash flow below 10times valuation.

So lets see how the story pan out and is he able to buy some another good companies like Quess that can add significant value to Thomas Cook.

Disc : Invested and has positive bias

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Need serious Help with my portfolio should I stay Invested or pull out (23-09-2015)

Also remember bear market is the best time for portfolio modification if any, as not only week stocks but also strong stocks fall. In investing try to control greed & fear.
Here greed is 41% in one stock & fear is : fear of loosing money if U sell in loss. If U can control these two U will earn lots of money.
As a retail investor always try to buy sector leaders with high ROE, company which pays tax & gives out some descent dividend and not too much debt.

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Skipper Ltd., distributing Power and Water, Is it a moat in making? (23-09-2015)

Hi Mahesh,

Can you elaborate more on strategic approach of Skipper using Lease based model? What I have understood of Skipper is that majorly they are into Tower making business. What is the way in which they are using lease based model in this?

Do you already hold shares of Skipper?

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Skipper Ltd., distributing Power and Water, Is it a moat in making? (23-09-2015)

Yes you are correct,company following leas based model, which is quite strategic approach.

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How to calculate Intrinsic using DCF with EPS method (23-09-2015)

At a high level, you are going to take all the future cash flows and not EPS as it can be misleading.
Project 5-10 years of cash flow and a terminal value for the rest of the company's lifetime. Discount the total for cost of capital.

If you want to learn, suggest you read Aswath Damodaran, best in business on DCF. Also read the DCF caveats from Legg Mason, Bruce Greenwald etc.

If my answer is too high level and you want a specific example, visit a site like Dr.Vijay Malik.
I am just avoiding the detailed answer here as the quality of some of these articles are far superior to what I can write as a response here.

Cheers.

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Talwalkars Better value Fitness Ltd – Good fundamentals (23-09-2015)

I used to be a shareholder of the company. When I buy small and mid caps I build a historical model. So all that data is sourced from the historical annual reports and presentations of the company available on the website

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Skipper Ltd., distributing Power and Water, Is it a moat in making? (23-09-2015)

Hi Sodhi,

How Value Chain Control can result into Asset Light Approach? The understanding which I have of Asset Light Model is that Company's take lease approach for its business for several years and don't undergo any Capex. Ex. Indigo in Aviation, Byke in Hospitality etc.

Please correct if my understanding is wrong.

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Need serious Help with my portfolio should I stay Invested or pull out (23-09-2015)

@catchsudipto @ravimba31 Thank you for your valuable feedback, yes agree sticking to purchase price and not thinking long term could be detrimental to my PF allocation, I know my allocations has been very bad I need to do lot of due diligence before investing too diversified portfolio without much concentration would not give me any solid returns.

@gurjota Thank you for your kind analysis of my PF, I think KSCL and GMDC might make rebound but need to have lot of patience and preservance

@madhug I have one up on wall street and going through some of the chapters right now but as you suggested I will try to go through the books mentioned by you, I need to keep my emotions and impulses under control while investing.

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Skipper Ltd., distributing Power and Water, Is it a moat in making? (23-09-2015)

asset light = min wcap req on per rupee of sales, as of FY:!4-15, non cash non debt wcap/sales comes to be 0.17, which is why we have high roce,roic.

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Kaveri Seeds – Temporary thread for clarifications (23-09-2015)

Competition from Indian BT varieties may mean bulk of profits of companies like Kaveri, nuziveedu will evaporate.

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