Sir what are your views on Premier energies valuation, if it list at around 800 and how do you see companies future growth?At what valuation should we look at this company as it is backward integrated and largest solar cell exporter of India and also planned for a capex.Solar is a sunrise sector and looking at our country’s power need going forward due to data Centres, EV , IOT etc.i think this is a sector worth investing.How do you think of this sector?
Availability of Solar is really good in India ( We have geographical advantage) and due to advanced efficiency tech. like- Topcon playing imp role in reduce solar cost.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Ranvir’s Portfolio (31-08-2024)
Secular growth stocks & my portfolio (31-08-2024)
Should remove the absolute values for your own privacy. Just share the % allocation, etc. Don’t add your actual values in positions.
Maithan Alloys Ltd (31-08-2024)
I just had a look at Maithan Alloy’s current valuation and it looks interesting. But I have a similiar doubt to Mayank’s post above – the company seems to have completely shifted strategies to become an equity holding company, mainly investing excess cash in PSU stocks. Also their disclosure is pretty poor – their latest Q1 2024/25 quarterly report doesn’t even have a balance sheet (the most basic of financial statements!). So, will wait and watch until the annual report is released. Hopefully will be clearer then.
For now, I’ve based the below calculations on Q4 2023 quarterly report. If I use conservative estimates, the stock should provide ~16% IRR at these levels. However, I will wait for disclosures on the latest balance sheet and equity holdings before deciding to invest further.
Disc: invested; potentially biased
Cheers,
Sharad
OpenSourceInvestor
APL Apollo Tubes (31-08-2024)
APL has created significant wealth, i have personally benefited from it, imo, and whenever there are cyclical downturn or some issue with growth in business these thoughts do come in, but i feel the mgmt is competent and has created a strong business in an otherwise lacklustre sector. We should give it few qtrs to start delivering on what it has promised.
Globus Spirits (31-08-2024)
[Reason for yesterday’s jump. ] (https://indianexpress.com/article/india/ethanol-distilleries-can-buy-23-lakh-mt-rice-from-fci-govt-9540644/)
They can shift to rice from maize in a day! (but i dont think they will)
but Gain of around 5/- kg comparing Q1 Pur rate of rice.
Disc: Invested
Ola Electric – Full Stack EV play? (31-08-2024)
Yadea is world’s largest 2-Wheeler EV co from China, it has 28% market share globally and sells 60 million units in 80 countries. Globally top 5 2-W EV’s, all are from China. (Blame Bajaj, TVS for being too conservative).
Anyway, if we compare it with Indian EV
Y’s top model E8S 200 has max speed 65 km/h vs 116 km/h of ola
Driving range 150 km of Y vs 170 ola
Y started in 2001.
It’s difficult to find more info on tech spec of Yadea’s various mode, request @SA24 and others interested to colloborate to find some more data. Thx
Multi-themed Long Term Portfolio (31-08-2024)
(3/3)
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Borosil Renewables: Biggest solar glass manufacturer outside China, stands to benefit if China’s dumping is stopped in India/US/EU.
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Netweb Technologies: India’s only company having exp. in setting up supercomputers. Has massive opportunity in creating infra for upcoming AI wave.
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RIR Power Electronics: Setting up new-tech SiC plant in Odhisa with state incentives, diversifying to provide solutions to various industries.
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RPSG Ventures: Holding co of Firstsource Solutions IT company, owns “Too Yumm” brand, also owner of IPL team LSG and ISL team ATK MB, owns a luxury mall in Kolkata. Massively undervalued at the time of writing.
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Shivalik Bimetals: Creates shunt resistors, which go in EV chargers, smart meters, basically every upcoming sector. See SOIC’s YT video on this stock for better understanding.
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Tube Investments: Has presence in commercial EVs through TI Mobility. It’s subsidiary CG Power doing extremely good, also setting up Semiconductor fab.
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NIBE Ltd: Recent player in defence sector, seems to have some political links, hence getting major orders without prior expertise. Has set up a new SOTA facility inaugurated by Naval chief. Should have good runway for future since currently only a small-cap.
Multi-Disciplinary Reading – Book Reviews (31-08-2024)
Recently finished What It Takes by Stephen Schwarzman, founder of Blackstone, one of the largest alternate investment management company in the world. Was always fascinated by the shear size of the company and their share in grade A retail real estate in India.
The book is an easy and enjoyable read, and I highly value biographies like this one. It reminds me of Phil Knight’s work, where the narrative flows effortlessly despite the surrounding noise, as if the universe itself is conspiring to help the author achieve their intended goals. For obvious reasons of the subject being finance, there has to be an other side to the story, on how his colleagues or competitors saw him throughout his life and would love to read King of Capital to understand that sometime.
Here are some excerpts from the book that I noted down:
- “There is a saying in finance that time wounds all deals. The longer you wait, the more nasty surprises can hurt you. I like to finish work quickly. Even if tasks are not urgent, I like to get them done to avoid the unnecessary risks of delay.
- “To be successful you have to put yourself in situations and places you have no right being in. You shake your head and learn from your own stupidity. But through sheer will, you wear the world down, and it gives you what you want
- “Everyone contributes to the discussion. Risk is systematically broken down and understood. Debate is full and robust. The same small groups of people, who know each other well, go over each investment applying the same rigorous standards. This unified approach to investing has become the backbone of the Blackstone way.”
- “The first was focus. If you ever felt overwhelmed by work, I said, pass on some of your work to others. It might not feel natural. High achievers tend to want to volunteer for more responsibility, not give up some of what they have taken on. But all that anyone higher up in the firm cares about is that the work is done well. There is nothing heroic or commendable about taking on too much and then screwing it up.”
- “The second way to maximize your chances of achieving excellence was to ask for help when needed”
- “The rewards of having a beautiful space that attracted the best people and gave our clients greater confidence in our abilities would far exceed the cost of paying a little extra to close the deal.
- “And the best way to get what you want is to figure out what’s on the mind of the person who can give it to you. ”
- “If you are going to start a business, I told them, I believe it has to pass three basic tests. First, your idea has to be big enough to justify devoting your life to it. Make sure it has the potential to be huge. Second, it should be unique. When people see what you are offering, they should say to themselves, “My gosh, I need this. I’ve been waiting for this. This really appeals to me.” Without that “aha!” you are wasting your time. Third, your timing must be right. The world actually doesn’t like pioneers, so if you are too early, your risk of failure is high. The market you are targeting should be lifting off with enough momentum to help make you successful.”
On to the next one which is The World for Sale
Multi-themed Long Term Portfolio (31-08-2024)
(2/n)
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Angel One: Major discount broker and wealth manager, entire industry set for big tailwinds for decades
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UGro Capital: Targets MSME for loans to fill the credit gap, management full of people with very valuable experience of industry.
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Infibeam Avenues: Provides payment gateway, setting up team to create AI-based solutions for different use-cases, recently acquired Reddifmail
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PayTM: Risky one, but could benefit from recenlty announced ULI if management plays it well.
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Sky Gold Ltd: Small-cap Jewellery designer, seems like a better way to play this sector rather than any retail chain.
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Dixon Technologies: Major smartphone/laptop/TV (and many other) manufacturer, some call it Foxconn of India
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Honasa Consumer: Parent company of MamaEarth/Aqualogica/BBlunt etc. Not a crazy grower but could be a decent compounder over long-term
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Exicom Tele-systems: Major EV charger player, recent acquisitions/JVs can help it become a big name if EV cycle plays out well.
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UnoMinda: One of the most diverse Auto ancillary co. in India, growing and expanding at a good pace.
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Ola Electric: More than it’s EVs, it’s Battery manufacturing business seems lucrative. It’s Gigafactories should provide an edge if management fixes consumer issues.
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Olectra Greentech: Pure-play electric bus players, new factory should be running at full capacity of 5000 buses anually in 1-2 quarters(order of more than 10K buses).
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Gensol: Becoming major EPC player in new-energy related projects (solar/hydrogen/BESS), also creates solar trackers, about to launch Gensol EV.
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Himadri Speciality: Produces carbon materials, acquired Birla Tyres (about to relaunch), setting up Li-ion battery components plant.
Ranvir’s Portfolio (31-08-2024)
Sir the knowledge that you have and the way you present concall notes is very easy to understand even to a layman investor like me. Thank you sir for constantly helping and sharing your knowledge.