Posts tagged Value Pickr
Merck Limited: The Most Undervalued MNC Pharma@ High Growth (01-10-2015)
The strategy now would be to address inefficiencies, free up resources and invest in promising growth markets. Now obviously the reference was to Asia and China and India in particular. Reading between the lines, I believe that this subsidiary of Merck Germany, which has been ignored and not sort of seriously looked at by the parent for so many years now, would see increased attention and renewed investor interest in the coming months and years. So far the financials have not been too good; this company has started growing at a very fast pace recently. The net profit is at Rs 1000 crore on basis of the recent results declared, so we literally are getting a top notch MNC pharmaceutical major at 20 PE. But looking at what the parent has said in the board meeting, three months back, I believe that there should be a renewed interest in this counter in the coming months and years. Financially, this year the company would report about Rs 50 kind of earnings, the stock is at about Rs 780 so it is trading at about 20 times that is reasonable. But if you look this stock from a marketcap to sales perspective, the stock is looking very cheap. If you compare it with Novartis, the turnover is about Rs 873 crore, marketcap is Rs 2,500 crore that is again three times the sales. And if you look at the Pfizer turnover is about Rs 1,900 crore or so and the marketcap is Rs 12,000 crore six times the sales. So Novartis, and Pfizer all these three companies are trading at an average of three to six times the sale. The market cap of Merck should atleast be Rs 1,800 crore whereas the current marketcap is about Rs 1300 crore. So reasonable P/E, decent valuations based on marketcap to sales and renewed interest by the parent company should rerate the stock in the coming years. It is a good long-term stock wherein the risk is very low and the reward could be reasonably good.
The key negative has been low growth since the past many years but I believe the company is breaking out from that ballon and market may take some time to factor that in .
Disclosure: Started buying today in smaller quantities and look to build up on it. Welcome all feedback and views
Cupid Ltd – Helping the world play safe! (01-10-2015)
Did anyone get a chance to go to the AGM. If yes could you please share your notes
Disclosure: Invested from lower levels
IDFC Special Situation September 2015 (01-10-2015)
So idfc is now being purchasable at 69 per share or is there to time to start trading . And 69 seems to be below is fair value as provided by Oswal and also in this thread
Disclosure – not invested but to get knowledge so as to think about investing .
Torrent Pharma Ltd (01-10-2015)
That is a very good question. Zauba’s data has matched the declared numbers approximately for the last quarter. The accuracy will be known only in the future when we will be able to verify that its data is matching reported numbers for many companies. Though, if someone is interested, they can do the back testing of its data.
US based NRI’s – How do you guys invest in equity now? (01-10-2015)
Hi, I am Saroj Chakraborty.
You have raised a very imp. issue…many US NRIs who do not know the rules go on investing in India and later on, when they get into trouble both with Indian & US regulations, they are stuck. Hopefully, this thread of discussion wd bring clarity to this topic.
May I know what are the difficulties you faced for your Indian investments w.r.t growing questioning from the Indian tax authorities and more importantly, the difficulties faced in calculation with respect to FATCA regulations !! Thanks.
IDFC Special Situation September 2015 (01-10-2015)
Its trading now at 69/share
Control Print – Deservers attention? (01-10-2015)
@varadharajanr Sir as we are discussing about the CFO and building up of inventory topic, I want to talk about Lloyd Electric. Their management said that they are using push through method to promote their product and that method deteriorated their Balance sheet and increased their Working Capital They said they initiated that strategy 3 years back and now they are reaping the benefits of it. The point I am trying to understand is that what amount of WC increase is right? They said it took them 3 years but you said (I trust your analysis because you have seen so many companies) that 3 year increment is a red flag. Can you give your comments on that? because I feel (but I have not done industry analysis) for companies which trying to become Business to COnsumer companies, 3-4 years of WC can be quite natural.
IDFC Special Situation September 2015 (01-10-2015)
Price discovery is being conducted between 9 AM to 10 AM. You will get the IDFC price post 10 AM.
IDFC Special Situation September 2015 (01-10-2015)
Dear Chandresh
I thought Oct 1 was the ex date. But today, IDFC Ltd. seems to be trading as per the usual price.
Regards
Samir