@suns It is unfair to compare a entity with another entity in my opinion. In fact, MOST track record in Indian Equity may have been better than Morgan Stanley for all we know
Posts tagged Value Pickr
POKARNA LTD ( Stock opportunities ) (28-08-2015)
Great work Sambath
Thanks for offering to have another conversation with them.
If you could get clarity on a) Not having an exclusive relationship with Breton anymore… what that means..
b) Price difference vs Caesarstone.. how much lower is it.. and is that a big driver for converting a caesarstone customer to a pokarna customer ?
POKARNA LTD ( Stock opportunities ) (28-08-2015)
Hi @shyamiy,thanks for the update.I wrote to them 2 weeks back with a long list of questions and did not get any response.I too called their investor relations and quizzed them with my set of questions today.What a coincidence.
**Some of them may be repeated of what you have already said***
1.GRANITE:
a.Raw materials:
For granite,70% of the raw materials are being sourced from their captive quarries and 30% are imported,their current quarry would last for decades as estimated by the geologists.Have a total of 15 quarries. And getting new license for a granite quarry is really tough for a new entrant but if you are an established player with a good track record it is a bit easier.
Company has to pay royalty to the government (As per AR 2015,there is a mention of Royalty on quarry land of Rs.7.45 lakhs and Government royalty and dead rent of Rs.7.15 crores) on a total granite sales of around Rs.193 crores.)
(Unprocessed granite is currently under import restricted list and if you own a quarry abroad only then you are allowed to import unprocessed granite,not sure how the company is able to import 30% of their raw materials without owning any quarry outside India).
b.Capacity:
Current total capacity for granite is 5 lakhs sq meter,located in Hyderabad.There are 2 units one with 1.5 lakhs sq.meter and another with 3.5 lakhs sq.meter.
And the current capacity utilization is around 70% on both units.
c.Clients:
In India,Shobha is one of their clients which uses granite countertop in their high-end residential projects.But most of the sales are coming in from exports through B2B sales.
d.Price realization:
It is around $6 per sq.foot and it does not vary much with slab sizes.
2.QUARTZ:
a.Raw materials:
Currently compay has applied for quart license and does not have any captive quarries.All of the quartz is sourced from a quarry owned by chettinad group(from Tamil Nadu) in Vizag.No risks with raw materials even if the quarries are not approved.
Company calls this quarry as strategically located because of the proximity to the port and its manufacturing facility.This reduces transportation costs as well.
7% of polymer resin is added to the quartz slabs during processing.Generally,ploymer is expensive however Prices of polymer is directly linked to crude and falling crude will help in improving margins this year.
b.Capacity:
Total installed capacity is six lakhs sq.feet and the current utilization is around 50%.Until last year they used to run it 5 days a week and this year it is running 24*7 because of the demand in US and other markets.
It is fully automated unit and in case if the pattern/color or something needs to be changed,the downtime is only 4 hours.
c.Breton
Breton has a policy of one company in one country for its exclusive license,they dont want to dilute their exclusivity by offering it to multiple payers.He also mentioned Pokarna had an exclusive relationship with Breton before and now it is lapsed (not sure what it means).
To set up a new line with Breton,it needs atleast 2 years.Currently the company has only one line established,its competitors like Caesarstone has 8 lines running.It has provision to add second line within the current facility(brownfield expansion).Even if a new company tries to get Breton tech,it takes 2 years to establish the line.Hence,threat of other companies getting in quickly is low.
Globally 12-14 sizeable manufacturers are producing quartz with Breton technology.Breton’s chairman flew to Vizag once to see pokarna’s facilities.
Running this line 100% is realistically not possible,they are aiming for 80% utilization.
d.Price Realizations
Higher the slab size,better the price realizations.3 major sizes they produce (12 mm,20 mm and 30 mm).
Avg.price realization is $10.
e.Client Base:
Pure B2B ,there are plans to sell directly to end customers like Caesarstone through their branding(B2C).
One of the large customers cancelled their tie up with Caesarstone and selected Pokarna as preferred supplier in EU last year.
f.Debt:
Promoters have injected their own money to the tune of Rs.70 crores and bank loans of around Rs.160 crores which is availed at 14%.There are plans to get foreign currency loans to reduce the interest costs.Current strong cash flow generation would be enough to service the debt and slowly retire it.
Future:
Upside is huge with uptick in demand for housing in US and other markets.US is still underpenetrated with quartz compared to other developed countries.No CAPEX for the next 2 years.
Operating margins are around 30% for quartz and 20% in granite.
Please feel free to add any other questions if you have,I will try to get the answers.
Disclosure: Invested.
Ashiana Housing – Banking on Tier II and III towns! (27-08-2015)
Hi Milind, AGM was attended by me.
AGM was presided by Vishal Gupta.
He was really concerned about the current real estate situation. They are working in 6 cities now, out of which they are really strong in 3 cities. The remaining 3 they will strengthen depending upon the response of their initial project. The internal relation between the brothers is really very strong. QIP money will be utilised as and when they find the opportunities. He refused to give any growth guidance.
AKZO Nobel – A sleeping giant – preparing for next wave of Growth (27-08-2015)
Let me tell you a true story.
I wanted to get my house painted. Big house. 4500 sq feet. 250000 worth of paint.
I called Dulux first. no response.
I called their call center. They said someone will contact me. No one did.
I left an email. no revert.
I called Asian Paints once, and they did everything from that point on.
I was holding Akzo…sold all my holdings.
If you think this team will make you money, forget it.
Control Print – Deservers attention? (27-08-2015)
Dear Niku
Sorry for missing your post earlier.
Any luck with meeting the Management?When is the AGM as it seems management will open their mouth in AGM only.
You can ask on why are receivables and inventory on the higher side?Why is cash flow negative?What has been the impact of recent strictness n banning of Maggi noodles by FSSAI?How are they faring against competition? Why was CFO sacked recently?Any more chances of warrant allotments to promoters or is the chapter finally over?How big is the opp size n whats the moat of the co?Any plans of expansion? was the Nalagarh plant taken on lease n will it be closed down n production shifted to the new Assam plant as the tax benefits are over?
In the recent carnage it was heartening to see that CP stood firm …any instl entry here?can this Maruti turn into Mercedez ?we need to find out.Thanks
Adi Finechem- A good business or business having a good time? (27-08-2015)
Dont be confused mates. The situation is simple for ADI Finechem.
Their competitive advantage comes when crude oil prices are high as they make their product from edible oil waste while their competition makes the same product from crude.
So now when Crude is at multi year lows and has fallen from $100+ (this was when ADI was flying due to competitive advantage) to $40-$44 range…its has completely killed their product competitiveness internationally.
Tough days ahead for ADI…because with China’s slowdown, Iran sanctions lifted, US Shale boom…..looks like Crude will be in 30-50 range for sometime.
Question is whether ADI can sustain this low crude environment. It will become interesting if the stock price goes to 100-150 odd and if Crude can rise to 75-85 range.
Cheers
Neil Bahal
Dynemic Products (27-08-2015)
I am hearing that China has shut down a lot of chemical companies to clamp down on pollution. Any views on Dynemic at 48?
Also looks like the promoter picked up a small quantity of 2000 shares today from open market. Meaningless but still something.
**The only questions are whether the capex is on track and if the company will manage to increase EPS above 9 in FY16? and will cash flows be positive?
NGL Fine Chem-Re Rating Possible? (27-08-2015)
Everything is good….but the company has no cash flow from operating activities which I find very ‘putting off’. How can we invest if there is no cash flow from operations?
They are taking debt to fund everything.
Indocount notes from AR (27-08-2015)
Did anyone attend the AGM guys? Any updates?
The stock is holding up superbly in this volatile period. Some AGM notes would come in handy.