Rs 250 SIP in MF could be a game changer for MF industry and CAMS/ Kfin?
Posts in category Value Pickr
Avanti Feeds (11-12-2023)
Hi @tpatel
Thanks for the super useful information and case source…!!
We should keep a close tab of the developments here.
Overall I feel the industry has consolidated for last couple of years and if the recent trends are to sustain then there could be some recovery and then going forward if the judgement on duties is favourable then it all could finally play out…and Avanti has been a good performer even during the difficult phase of Industry.
Also, one thing that I want to bring to your notice…
My interpretation is that the subsidies that these countries are offering is more than 2% which is higher than the limit allowed by US for imports coming from developing nations…and the final CVD & ADD will be decided and levied based on the case proceedings.
Regards,
Yogansh Jeswani
Disclosure: Invested
Basilic Fly Studio Ltd (11-12-2023)
The lot size is 1200.
Basilic Fly Studio Ltd (11-12-2023)
Sort of Off topic I suppose, What is the lot size to invest in BFS? Thank you!
Listed Microcap- Frog Cellsat- Opportunity (11-12-2023)
any thought on this stock? Posting my notes below of the recent concall where management has given a 4x revenue guidance by 2027. I know its their words vs reality but just thought of digging given such a bullish estimate . if management is able to achieve even 50% of what they saying, their forward P/E will be 7-8 at current price based . One concern is last year they missed their estimate and this year they have revised down their guidance.
Concall text (Nov 23) : https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/FROG_22112023135626_Intimation_Transcript_.pdf
Financial Performance:
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Revenue increased by 5.24% from Q1 FY24 to Q2 FY24, surpassing expectations and leading to a revised FY24 guidance of 20-25% growth.
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EBITDA increased by 26.57% from Q1 FY24 to Q2 FY24, with the guidance remaining at 16-18%.
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Order book stands at a substantial ₹80 crore, including the ₹17 crore order from BSNL
Key Developments:
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New product launches, including 5G antennas, DC power distribution units, fixed wireless access terminals, interference mitigation solutions, unlicensed band radios, and 5G DAS systems, are contributing significantly to growth.
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Trials for the interference mitigation system and the air fiber solution are ongoing
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The company consolidated its Noida units and closed the Dehradun facility, transferring equipment to the new unit and selling the Dehradun land parcel
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The company expects to benefit from the PLI scheme in H2 FY24 which is ~5cr INR
Future Outlook:
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The company is aiming to achieve a revenue of ₹500 crores within the next 4 years, despite some project delays due to customer trials and low margins.
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This ambitious goal will be achieved through adding new products to the portfolio, expanding markets, entering the export market aggressively in the next year, and potentially setting up a small UK facility for repackaging, assembly, or sourcing technologies.
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The company remains confident about its growth in the telecom sector, followed by defense and then space.
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Despite the recent delays, the company maintains its focus on profitable projects and may shy away from high-volume, low-margin deals.
Q&A Highlights:
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The revised revenue guidance of 20-25% is based on existing deals and recent signings, with potential for additional growth exceeding expectations.
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The company’s UK subsidiary GORF UK Limited aims to improve customer acceptability in European and African markets and potentially provide better margins
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The Dehradun land parcel is 500 square meters and was purchased around 2010. The company expects to receive bids and determine its value after advertising the sale in newspapers
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The company expects to receive around ₹5 crores in PLI incentives for FY24
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The company’s decision not to exhibit at the Indian Mobile Congress was due to existing customer relationships and the focus on maximizing return on investment
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While the company acknowledges the potential impact of Reliance Jio’s air fiber technology, it believes it is a complementing technology to optical fiber, particularly for last-mile delivery
Praj Industries (11-12-2023)
I agree with the views in the interview for Praj in particular. I think the direction of the govt is clear on bio-fuel. They want to move the industry towards 2g types of ethanol production. Considering Praj is not the producer of ethanol, it makes machineries and infrastructure for the production of ethanol, they will simply need to switch the ramping up of their 2g division in medium to long term (they already have this division in place). Having said that, this longer term move of govt may not be so good news for sugar companies. The moment the market realises this distinction between the sugar companies and companies like Praj, Gulshan poly etc., stock price will shoot up.
The harsh portfolio! (11-12-2023)
Hi harsh,
Whats your view on Par drugs?
did you happen to check this stock?
Thanks in advance
Max India – Demerger, Will sum of parts be greater than single entity (11-12-2023)
I was referring to the first three items which seem to be the core of the business. MedCare and Phygital platform seem to be distractions.
Having 5 different lines of business is what I consider as too many, considering where the company is currently. It would spread out management bandwidth considerably.
Rgd. MaxIndia’s business verticals, you can refer to the snippet from presentation:
Ujjivan Financial – Small Finance Bank (11-12-2023)
NCLT had directed the shareholders of both entities to vote on the merger. Now that the shareholders have approved the merger, NCLT should give its final approval. But we have to wait till the hearing. Hopefully it should end in one hearing.
SmallCap Hunter : Trying to find the dark horses with triggers (11-12-2023)
FrontierSprings worth studying – https://x.com/SULABH40/status/1734121032896696764?s=20