Thanks. That’s Impressive.
Posts in category Value Pickr
PGINVIT impairment of investments in subsidiaries and book value (14-10-2024)
It depends on one’s opportunity cost… If your alternatives are giving you say – 7%, then 8.8% is a good option…but if your alternates are giving you more than 8.8% ( say 10%)- then its not recommended…
52 week highs and all time highs strategy (14-10-2024)
Most of the answers related to your query have been very aptly answered by @ChaitanyaC in his post.
We are currently in the phase where a lot of breakouts are failing and though stocks are not collapsing, the expected outcomes of pattern breakouts are not coming through. This can be looked at as a sort of warning where its time to look at the structure of overall markets and see who things are panning out.
If overall markets remain lacklustre, very few bullish patterns will play out. Stocks will go sideways, or correct and not make the expected quick comebacks.
In this kind of markets its better to wait on sidelines for market momentum to return, or be very choosy in the stock selection process. Hoping for a stock to bounce back after a pattern has failed is hope investing. Techno funda investors often fall prey to this problem because in the absence of technicals playing out, they tend to fall back on fundamentals, taking solace in the fact that fundamentals are good and stock will not fall further. But there are no fixed rules for these situations.
And following strict stop losses will spare a lot of pain. Its betterr to exit a stock at say a 7% loss than see a drawdown of nearly 15-20% which can effortlessly come about in an overall weak market.
52 week highs and all time highs strategy (14-10-2024)
I would like add my 2 cents before our doctor sir comes and guides us.
From what I have experienced, there will be effect on the stocks if there is a strong correction across indices. Almost all stocks fall, to varying degrees. Some will be spared, owning to fundamental reasons, support levels, intrinsic value zones, areas of interest, demand etc. And these kind of falls are more pronounced in mid cap and small cap stocks.
And depending on the reasons for the fall, the severity of the fall, the consensus of the participants, the reversal could happen sooner than later, and the reversal can happen to the extent of the fall, like we have been seeing in the current market. So a wide stop loss can help, but as it is hard for me to guess what can happen after such a fall, so I prefer getting out and come back later.
If we are taking a trade based purely on technicals alone, better to have a stop loss, if we don’t know about the company. If we know about the company, or volatility is common in the stock, we can have a wide stop loss, I think ATR will help here. One can look at the volume too.
Losses always happen with pure technicals, however strong the charts may look, it is past and the next trading session could undo the past, particularly with stocks trading at ATHs. A 15% from ATH from investing standpoint is common, but a quick 15% loss might not be the same to all traders. And, If we are in a bull market, there will be new opportunities. I say this purely from a technical stand point, about price not value.
On another note, the position sizing cannot be big purely based on technicals unless experienced. And if the position sizing is big combined with fundamentals, we can look at a wider stop loss, and if the trade is taken for a few months, there is a chance of price not hitting the stop loss and the fall will be recovered.
As with FA, TA feels like a journey too. Feels like nothing much has changed when charts are looked at, but the lessons, experiences, and profits/losses happen. Fascinating, nevertheless.
I am in an early stage of learning, so I am all over the place, and there are gaps in my knowledge, wrong interpretations and inferences. Sharing for my own clarity and as it is relevant to what was asked.
Vishnu Chemicals – Is Growth sustainable? (14-10-2024)
In promoter-led companies, Chairman and his family WILL have the most number of shares. How is that a red flag?
Sula vineyards – pioneers in indian wines (14-10-2024)
Interesting point. I think for liquor direct advertising is not allowed in country…not sure about what are rules on wine.
So for liquor companies, advertising and promotions ought to be either more innovative or much bigger budget avenues like sponsorships etc.
What is more interesting that never seen anything by wine companies yet, not even any international biggies.
If the TAM is so huge, which no doubt it is, why are big pockets international biggies not interested in the advertising & promotion to educate consumers?
Anand Rathi Wealth (13-10-2024)
Rightly pointed out…but the ROE of Anand rathi is also of top notch…and Anand Rathi performing exceedingly well even it has not ventured into Loan against Securities. Huge potential ahead…
Demergers on the radar (13-10-2024)
Gujarat Gas shareholder will receive 1 equity share of the newly formed GSPL Transmission Limited (GTL) for every 3 equity shares they hold in Gujarat Gas
Demergers on the radar (13-10-2024)
Track ITC hotel which is demerger from ITC group. It will good to add after listing.
Brightcom Group Limited (Formerly Lycos Internet) – Way to Digitalization (13-10-2024)
No chatgpt only give information about promoter overall scenario… Not indept or any particular intension