Hi to Everyone,
Myself investing in market from last 4 years however never started publishing or writing any information.
At current below stocks are I am holding.

1. Epack- Clearly visible growth of 35 to 40% over next 2 yrs
2. Lauruslabs – Recently added at 470 very few qty – Lot of capex done and hence some improvement can start so started added them
3. Hbl power – Huge benefit of railway infrastructure development in coming 1 to 1.5 yrs so overall 25 to 30% visible growth each year till 2026 end.
4. Triveni Eng – Added very few qty – Sugar sector based however stock have multiple things in the product portfolio- easily expecting 35 to 40% growth
5. Deepak fertilizer – Looks finally some huge benefit can start based on the utilisation of assets
6. Beml – Right now sitting with loss of 13%. If growth does not back by Dec end will evaluate and take a call – Also proxy of defence and railway sector growth- mgmt mentioned many points and looks they can able to achieve 30 % growth for next 2 years
7. Reliance infra – Expecting company can bring its ability to execute lot of potential in the coming years
8. Fluorochemical – Finally mgmt said something visible to improve their revenue as top manufacturers of their product is leaving the industry and also huge entry barrier to this industry
9. Bse – very few qty added recently at current price of 4100/- . Hoping some good benefit to this will come in the coming quarters.
10. Igl and mgl – Holding very few qty and quite not clear how benefit can come to this stocks. Just waiting to see and watch for next quarters.
11. Jindal steel and power – Expecting biggest benefit of commodity start moving.
12. Neuland labs – Added very few qty with lot of excitement based on price action but not clear from mgmt what actually growth is possible this year of FY 25.

co has listed at 60-70 P/E and pe has went to 130 in not time.
co’s pat is growing at 30-40% p.a. so 130 pe is not justified so price remains constant for 2-3 years and when earnings came, P/E contracts and its at 28 now
For me, Route mobile should have 35-40 P/E because co. is giving 30% growth guidance for next 3 years and new promoters has came.

Disclaimer – Invested and biased. Not a rec. to buy or sell

I am investor in ITD Cem since last 4 years. I have entered this script at @ 65-85 range…total 2500. Sold 1000 at @ 150, Further sold 500 @ 101 (After Hindenburg report). Still holding 1000.

Sharing my tracking.

Q1/24 AUDIO RECORDING.

Management is optimistic for revenue and margin. Banglore metro provisioning continued to hit PAT even though Q4/23 was probably the last provision. A new order win is important. Issue raised for poor dividend distribution.

Q2/24 – AUDIO RECERDING – EXPECT REVENUE OF 8750 CR (+ 25% OVER FY 24 GUIDANCE OF 7000 CR)
HDFC SECURITIES – ITD Cementation (ITD) reported quarterly
revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 16.1/1.6/0.5bn. EBITDA margins: 9.8%
(+405/+101bps YoY/QoQ, vs. our estimate of 8.7%, owing to lower input and
raw material prices and lower employee expenses, partly offset by higher
fixed and other overheads). With an OI of INR 45.8bn in Q2FY24, the H1FY24
inflow stood at INR 48.2bn (-32.7% YoY; vs. FY24 guidance of INR 80bn+),
taking the Sep’23 OB to INR 220.8bn (~4.3x FY23 revenue). The OB is well diversified, providing a natural hedge from a slowdown in any particular
business segment. The net D/E, as of Sep’23, stood at 0.34x vs. 0.49x as of
Jun’23. ITD maintained its FY24 revenue guidance at INR 70bn+ with an
EBITDA margin of 10%+. ITD has incurred a capex of INR 2.4bn in H1FY24
towards construction plants and equipment. With this, it does not expect
much capex excluding the Bangladesh marine project. Given the better
margin profile and stronger execution in H1FY24, we reiterate BUY, with an
unchanged TP of INR 254/sh (11x Sep-25E EPS)

Q4/24 Result update

• Order book @20K
• Bid pipe line @ 28K
• DE ratio 0.6
• Expected 50% order inflow from overseas
• Margins are better in overseas orders
• Focus on revenue growth and profitability while bidding
• Nuvama TP 460

@ Month back parents has informed that they plan to exit india business, price reacted by @-10%

Q1/25 Earning call audio recording points

• Ganga exp way 55% comp, last Q billing 600 Cr, less billing will be there in this quarter due to monsoon.
• Bangladesh job yet not started nor mobilised. Mobilstion adv recd, project cost 1500 Cr, this year plan 400-500 Cr.
• Parent company selling stake, no update to share, technology self sufficient.
• FY 25 revenue guidance 15-20%, margin @10%.
• Overseas margin better, risk factored.
• Domestic Marin and tunnels margin better.
• Order received current Q 2000 Cr. L1 in 2000 Cr.
• Current Year order receipt will be @ 10000-11000 Cr.
• Current year tender pipe line 35K, overseas 10K, domestic 25K.
• Q1 capex spent 25-30 Cr. Year plan 150 Cr
• Current order book 7% overseas, rest india.
• My estimate of results is better than expected

POST RESULTS PRICE REACTED BY+11%

20/9/24 – News of Adani buying promoters state leads to 20% upper circuit 565.65

01/10/24 – Market crash, ITD Cem shines.
ITD Cementation surges to its 20% (643.55) upper circuit as it bags an order worth Rs 1,937 crore to construct a multi-story commercial building in Uttar Pradesh.

Changes in share holding pattern – Q on Q / Year before

• Promoters holdings – 46.64-46.64/46.64
• Promotors pledge – 0-0/0
• Promotors before 10 years – 51.63 Reduced to current level in April 2018
• FII – 13.46-17.08/20
• DII & MF – 1.65-1.2/4.3
• Public – 30.92-34.46/35.34
• Big investor – Yes but not famous

Is the Warangal plant now operational? The company was anticipating to commence spinning at this plant by September but i am unable to see any updates in this regard.

Disclosure – Tracking

Think how big is the pie