Central government heeds to demands of cotton seed sellers. The royalty issue may be settled in favour of seed companies. Could this be a savior for Kaveri in this distressed times of bad weather.
Posts in category Value Pickr
P. I. Industries Ltd. – A Unique Business Model can make it a Great Play on Agri & CSM Space (12-12-2015)
mgt should clarify their rationale for such forced sale
P. I. Industries Ltd. – A Unique Business Model can make it a Great Play on Agri & CSM Space (12-12-2015)
Somehow, I get a different feeling on this whole episode, my thought process as I look back the past 2 days is written below. I may be thinking unnecessarily and all the below will not have any impact on the business at all, but let me put my views anyway.
1 day before the stake sale, there was a huge spike of the stock until about 710 and there were pending buy orders of 28000 plus on BSE, if I remember correctly as I have looked at this data due to the unusual spike.
a. Someone might be testing the upside strength of the stock
b. This spike would have given psychological advantage to sellers the next day as looking at a stock which touched 700+ a day before and being available at around 600 the next day will make buyers plunge for a buy.The above points are important because only half of promoters stake were bought by big boys while the other half is a forced sell on the market as observed by boarder in the above post.
Interestingly, promoters could secure big boys for only half the amount of stake sale and the rest is sold to public! Of the 8800000 shares sold by promoters, 3716692 were bought by big boys.
Anyway, I will rest my rant on this topic here, let me move on.
Have a nice weekend.
Is there any good on-line library to borrow books related to investing (12-12-2015)
Folks it is illegal to download PDF of any books. Use Amazon.in for buying, During discount sale mostly you should be getting for 50% or sometimes more discount. I've personally bought books at over 85% discount too.
Secondly, you may buy used books from Amazon.com (USA Site) if you know someone can bring them to India. I've bought books for less than $3 including shipping (free for Prime members) which otherwise cost thousands of rupees in India.
Thirdly the cost of ignorance is more than the cost of buying books, IMHO.
P. I. Industries Ltd. – A Unique Business Model can make it a Great Play on Agri & CSM Space (12-12-2015)
Exactly, and this news of promoter exiting must be in the market for sometime making it weak for long time.
Indian Microfinance Sector and the companies in the sector (12-12-2015)
Microfinance risks have manifested themselves in different ways. In my opinion the major sector risks are different from what has been listed above. I will list down a few:
a) Political risk: Microfinance comes under the purview of state governments. Since most of the rural MFI loans are given to economically backward strata of the society and also since they form a major chunk of voting population any impact on them can lead to heavy clamping down by the state govt. The AP microfinance crisis clearly shows how badly state government regulations can impact the industry in a state.
b) Geographic risk: Any geographic calamity can have severe impact on an MFI. Example of this are available when the recent floods in Pakistan Punjab wiped out the MFI industry assets.
c) Multiple loans: This has been the biggest challenge operationally to the Microfinance industry. It has manifested itself time and again. The credit bureaus only cover MFIs (as per RBI regulation only two MFIs can lend to a person) but they do not cover loans from SHGs(Self help groups), HFCs(Housing Finance Companies), NBFCs and of course the local pawn broker. SHG loan books are almost the same size as MFIs. The recent RBI guideline of increasing the ticket size from Rs 30,000 to Rs. 60,000 greatly increases this risk significantly. Also MFIs lending from non operational revenue generating activities (consumer activities) are highly prone to this.
d) Religious: In certain communities interest on a loan is considered against the basic tenets. This risk manifested in the Mysore region where MFI loans were given to silk weavers.
e) Disease: Since a large amount of MFI loans are for animal husbandry purposes any disease outbreak could lead to wiping out of huge assets (think about mad cow disease, bird flu).
Along with these the standard risks of financial institutes are all present. In most of the cases these risks have combined together and resulted into huge losses to MFIs. The NPA of below .1% is a mirage since whenever any of these risks strike the NPAs have risen very sharply and have destroyed the entire MFI capital base.
Coming to the listed players which again I have gone into details:
Satin: Very high leverage. Preferential shares as part of tier 1 capital reduces interest coverage significantly. Not sure about management ethics. +ve ROAs are heading North every quarter. High exposure to animal husbandry.
Arman: Great management, conservative, focused on their work. Geographic and political risks.
SKS: Decent mgmt., lowest borrowing cost (lowest lending cost), wide geographic presence.
DIsclosure: Exited Satin recently. Looking to enter SKS.
P. I. Industries Ltd. – A Unique Business Model can make it a Great Play on Agri & CSM Space (12-12-2015)
11-Dec-2015 PI Industries (BSE) INDIA MIDCAP MAURITIUS LIMITED BUY 1000000 610.00
11-Dec-2015 PI Industries (BSE) SALIL SINGHAL SELL 8800000 610.72
11-Dec-2015 PI Industries (BSE) SBI MUTUAL FUND A/C SBI BLUE CHIP FUND BUY 900000 610.00
11-Dec-2015 PI Industries (BSE) GMO EMERGING DOMESTIC OPPORTUNITIES FUND BUY 865808 610.00
11-Dec-2015 PI Industries (BSE) STICHTING DEPOSITARY APG EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY POOL BUY 950884 610.00..
Promoters sold 88 lkh shares..around half of that acquired by big funds...remaining forced on market...Not sure why promoter in hurry to exit..
P. I. Industries Ltd. – A Unique Business Model can make it a Great Play on Agri & CSM Space (12-12-2015)
Well, I bought a good chunk(8% of my portfolio) yesterday as I felt this was an opportunity to buy in a great compounding story at a discount. Business is still strong and growing. Agri will recover at the max next year. So no doubt on the business side.
Promoters still own 51% and they are not going anywhere for sure. So far they have not shown any characteristics where I will doubt their capability/intention which should create any doubt in our minds.
Indian Microfinance Sector and the companies in the sector (11-12-2015)
Comprehensive n insightful coverage of the sector. Well done!!
P. I. Industries Ltd. – A Unique Business Model can make it a Great Play on Agri & CSM Space (11-12-2015)
well, you are right to question the motivation of boarders to raise doubts about the management. Promoters selling a large holding at discount always raises questions. From business point of view things have slowed considerably. CSM remains insulated but one needs to remember that Agri comm crash will ultimately hurt new product developments and consecutive droughts are not helping either.
Disc: I sold it just in time before I saw it spiking during the last few minutes yesterday.