out of curiosity, how much difference does it make to returns vis a vis additional risk? Say on portfolio of Rs 100, additional Rs 10 comes in this way and 8 goes into market. That means pf becomes Rs 108 - dividend income + Added risk + Rs 2 cash.
Posts in category Value Pickr
How to go long with leverage? (06-12-2015)
(post withdrawn by author, will be automatically deleted in 24 hours unless flagged)
Hindistan Media Ventures Limted (HMVL): A mispriced bet in newspaper business (06-12-2015)
One question that always pops up in one's mind while investing in the newspaper business is how the digital and online space will make newspapers redundant.
Being an ardent reader and supporter of newspapers to me it just doesn't seem possible. I think newspapers are here to stay and let me stick my neck out and say everywhere in the world (including the west).
Here is an interesting article that I read on Value Research on why newspapers are here to stay (from an India perspective). Good read and helps raise my conviction in being invested in this space / HMVL for a long time to come -
https://www.valueresearchonline.com/story/h2_storyview.asp?str=29330
Disc: Invested
Trending Sectors for 2016? (06-12-2015)
Zooming over @vml's data gave me few more which weren't easily visible to naked eye:
agrcultural procucts
auto
auto ancileries
carbon black
cement product
Furnishing and paint
consumer electronics
electronic components
heavy electrical equipment
electrical equipments
telecom services
packaging
transport related service
transport logistics
travel support service
leisure facilities
Movies and Entertainment
defence
forest product
distributor
non durable household product
food products
industrial products
pharmaceuticals
specility chemicals
plastic products
firbre plastic
Holding companies
Trending Sectors for 2016? (06-12-2015)
Percentage change in the "relative" percentage of the entire MCAP (for whatever it's worth).
Source: view-source:http://www.bajaar.me/blog/hist.html (by @vml)
Sectors v1.xlsx (64.6 KB)
You can't drive forward looking in the rear view mirror! However, all good drivers are taught to periodically glance back.
Ajanta Pharma (06-12-2015)
Ajanta Pharma Announces the Launch of Montelukast IR Tablets and Montelukast Chewable Tablets. This launch extends the breadth of the Montelukast offerings from Ajanta Pharma into three dosage forms (Immediate-Release Tablets, Chewable Tablets, and Oral Granules [announcement on 16th Nov]).
How to go long with leverage? (06-12-2015)
@reacher I can understand what you went through, even I learnt my lessons the hard way , so I never invest more than 10% of my asset in F&O on a sunny day. Just to answer you which may not be in context with the question's title , I will brief my investment strategy.
I follow 10:70:20 as my ratio of F&O,Stocks,Fixed Returns:
Now say a recession like 2008 hits, my portfolio would look like this:
============== F&O === Stocks === FD
Before Recession : 10 ===== 70 ===== 20
At peak Recession: -40 ==== 35 ===== 20
So to safeguard F&O a/c you liquidate Stocks and FD move 20 lakh each to F&O:
F&O: (10-50+40)=0, Stocks: (70-35-20)=15, FD:(20-20)=0
1 Crore becomes 15 Lakh. How scary does it look? Trust me even the best lot would struggle to hold on to their nerves.
Now after market comes back to breakeven like in 2010:
F&O: (10-50+50+40+400)=450, Stocks: (15+15)=30, FD : 0
Now how does it look in 2010. Market Just came back to where it was in 2007, you have simply grown your asset 4.8x when others were getting their account wiped out in the midst of recession.
However I still don’t consider the above ratios very safe. What if it’s a bigger depression than 2008? It's believed the next depression is going to be bigger than 2008. Besides our assumption of a valuepickr's stocks' portfolio to have the same beta as the index is too optimistic to be true. Moreover emotionally it's not as simple to execute as on papers. If someone is still not scared show him this http://www.macrotrends.net/1319/dow-jones-100-year-historical-chart:
2008 => -50%(It took 2 years to break even)
1932 => -88%(It took 25 years to break even)
Tree house education and accessories ltd. – Potential candidate for improvement in RoE (05-12-2015)
Clarification on deal with zee is one pendig item.
Other thing is how could promoters sell their shares even when they were pledged? They must have relesed the pledge by some other means and they havent informed exchanges about it ? Views?
How to go long with leverage? (05-12-2015)
I use a LAS account and pledge stable companies' shares. I keep loan amount to about 10% of the portfolio. This is as suggested by Basant Maheshwari. He says that this way the interest can be serviced by dividends.
Tea – A unique commodity (05-12-2015)
Is McLeod Russel a buy at this price? Profit margins have historically been 15-20% and assuming them to revert to mean on sales of Rs 1850 crore in FY16, the company should generate a net profit of Rs 200 crore plus. Current market cap is about Rs 1900 crore.
Tea prices in India are expected to rise by 15%. Volumes saw a decline in FY15 but that should pick up in FY16, especially exports.
The question is what PE should the stock be trading at?