Hi, Its more of a portfolio allocation thing. I think vfx is a play on the cost arbitrage and outsourcing theme. All 3 vfx companies should do well unless the vfx industry is overtaken by AI. Instead of putting all eggs in one basket I thought of allocating to 3.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Current Market Sentiments (01-05-2024)
It’s my first post on Value pickr and this forum generally promotes stock discussion but I am starting with Current Market sentiments.
The way I see in short is After covid the market has been on a bullish sentiment promoted by stock price growing positively whose underline cause might be Growth or the liquidity provided by especially by retail crowd.
Currently ( April 24) I Observe majority of the individual who is earning is asking or discussing markets and stocks and wants to invest especially in low priced stocks or some fancy industries which is going though expansion phase Like solar / energy or E.V’s.
Even the old age people who generally provide gyan related to money matters and generally have negative stances on market are now changing their stance and wants to invest and trade or are doing it. Even the one who don’t understand what does stocks mean wants to enjoy the flavour. This generally marks the top or near the top most sentiments.
Even if we read or ask some long time participants who spend their most of the age says this that when everybody wants to make quick or easy money, is the time wherein an individual should be extremely cautious as this might mark the top but no one knows on which level and date but the sentiments help an individual recognize this.
Secondly this should again be fact check by the number and not the sentiment analysis.
so the current fancy names like solar and E.V’s or related are generally seeing a huge rally and if we see their business model they are generally a manufacturing firms which generally don’t command higher valuation because of the characteristics of the business as they generally are capital intensive business and to grow fast they need debt or equity dilution and hence command less valuation then less capital intensive industry.
If we look at solar industry player or wind energy they are trading north 100 – 150 times operating profits, the industry which is extremely competitive and their Industry economic viability is yet to be established, then also market is giving premium which is just going to disappoint market participants who invested in this sector.
Market bullishness , easy money , every individual wants to trade , fancy sector with no economic viability generally marks the short term top for at least medium term.
Suchir sharma of Morgan stanley’s perfectly defines India as, On India you should not get too much pessimist and also the other way round.
Over the past few years I have observe that India is very good market to trade if we take market sentiments into consideration and do the opposite.
Hyderabad Investors Forum (01-05-2024)
Hi I am also from Hyderabad, i would like to add in the group.
Shiva Cement Ltd – Expanding It’s Capacity (01-05-2024)
OP level pe to sahi hai. Net profit kitna karegi ye sawal hai. After deducting interest cost (74 cr) and depreciation (30-40 cr) what will left? Market is giving 1250 cr valuation to a company which is making losses and will make losses in the near future also.
If you have information regarding other revenue stream like upcoming new products and how much will it generate revenue and profits then kindly share
Som Distilleries and Breweries (01-05-2024)
No
I have notted it down
Might have some typos so pls ignore that
Midhun’s Investment journey and Space to organize investment ideas (01-05-2024)
Hey Midhun, What do you see in the VFX industry to go with such a basket approach? Is there some government initiative or is it that VFX comapnies in India have been gaining recognition and top work in the past few years?
Rajesh’s portfolio (01-05-2024)
Presstonic seems a good play, can you please share Revenue growth projections by company or any other analyst ? Lik Basilic had given of 70-80% CAGR , any similar given by Presstonic ? Need to calculate forward projections and Valuations
TIA
HDFC Life Insurance Company (01-05-2024)
Yes, I also felt that, if they are planning to increase business from HDFC Bank that means other channels are not firing.
Good that you have captured the point that, they are willing to compromise on margins which I have missed while going through call notes. This is a concern as profitability will be poor going forward.
Long term story is intact, but it looks like, we are loosing on short term gains by investing in this stock. It will be interesting to see if SBI LIFE is doing better in terms of year on year EPS growth. Though EPS and P/E is not the correct measure to value Life Insurance Business, but still it may be worthwhile to do this comparison.
Tata Consumer Products Limited (TATACONSUM) (01-05-2024)
Is this problem with HUL as well? These are bound to perform in Long term only.
Holding both HUL and TATACONSUM.
SBI Cards & Payment Services Limited (01-05-2024)
Did Credit cards loose its shine upon arrival of Google Pay etc? No company is offering freebies etc … Some kind of incentives used to be there for CC purchases… Its better to invest in SBIN than SBI Cards .
I am holding SBI Cards however never made profit yet… I will sell off once it reaches 850 – 950 levels
