The pace is now set.
Those aboard, fasten your seatbelt’s.
The pace is now set.
Those aboard, fasten your seatbelt’s.
And paying pennies to Rohit Parti and Manmohan Khanna. Just the sitting fees. Not sure why they are working for them and what other arrangements they have with them.
There CCC from last two years are more than 366 days so it’s really hard to predict there sales YOY.
But if you have to take an idea I would say by looking there ORDER BOOK and how the current government is focusing on infrastructure. They will continue to grow there sales @30% for next five years.
Nice Amoul ,Dreamfolks Services seems interesting to study… Could you provide more insight into it if you have gone through their concalls or annual reports?
Latest Conference call findings –
Latest Concall Highlights
Financial Highlights:
New Products and Business Expansion:
Operational Updates:
Future Plans:
Overall, Protean eGov Technologies Limited is focused on expanding its business through new products, strategic partnerships, and international expansion while maintaining strong financial performance and operational efficiency.
This thread seems to have gone cold. I was wondering if the massive tariff cut on GSPL will have some negative impact on IGL as well. Does IGL also operate High-Pressure (HP) pipelines that could be impacted by similar tariff cuts?
I recently started studying IGL – got interested in it after the fall it has seen due to the Delhi Electricity policy and also the reduction in gas supply via the Administered Price Mechanism (APM). I only have a small position and have been thinking if I should scale up. Personally, I think EV impact is overstated. Further reduction in APM might be a challenge but that will apply for all CGD players, so at an industry level, my sense is it may not impact much as I expect they will pass on the cost increase. However, I am less clear about the impact of this regulatory decision. Given their NCR monopoly is over, if this price cut will happen to their pipeline infrastructure, then it will be a double whammy, no? Can someone provide additional clarity? Thanks!
@LarryWink Thank you for your kind words.
Maybe you are a finance guru already; just testing us out now.
Regarding look back of 3 months – there is a lot of literature available saying that the more optimum look back period is between 6m and 1 year. In fact, they are saying that 3m is not very helpful. I mentioned this in the 2nd video also. If we want to reward recency, we can give a higher weightage to 6m performance. Currently we are doing 50% for 6m and 50% for 1year. We can change to 70 or 75% for 6m. This will need some backtesting; resource for which I do not have. What I will try and do is check what happens to the pf when I use a weightage of 70% for 6m for the next couple of months. We can review after about 6 months.
Protean eGOV Technologies Limited (PETL), was incorporated in December 1995 and was previously known as NSDL e-Governance
Infrastructure Ltd. The company is engaged in the business of developing citizen-centric and population-scale e-governance solutions for
more than 2 decades. It has developed & implemented some of the most crucial technological infrastructure in India. The major service
offerings include PAN (Permanent Account Number) issuance, CRA (Central record-keeping agency) for NPS (National Pension System)
and APY (Atal Pension Yojana), e-KYC (Know Your Customer), e-Sign, Aadhar authentication, supporting digital blocks for ONDC (Open
Network for Digital Commerce) platform, improving accessibility to education financing through digitally powering platforms like ‘Vidya
Lakshmi’ and ‘Vidyasaarthi’ amongst others. As of 30th June 2023, it has managed 19 projects spread across 7 ministries & autonomous
bodies.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Tax modernization- These include services like implementing the TIN (Tax Information Network), PAN issuance & verification:
The TIN entrusted by the Government since 2004 is a repository of nationwide tax information and creates an electronic ledger for
each taxpayer providing complete details of taxes paid and a 360-degree view of tax collected and deducted at source.
In terms of PAN, it issues & prints PAN cards through its various service centres and provides verification services. Entities who
avail those verification services are mostly housing finance companies, insurance companies, banks, financial institutions,
educational institutions established by regulatory bodies, government agencies, stock exchanges, commodity exchanges and
clearing corporations.
• CRA (NPS)- Since December 2007, the company maintains centralized records of all the NPS subscriber details, provides reports and
dashboards to various stakeholders for effective decision-making, establishes the IT infrastructure, handles administration and
customer service functions for all subscribers of the NPS. It provides all these services to the Central and State Governments
including their autonomous bodies and public sector banks.
• CRA (APY)- APY provides old age income security for the working poor and is focused on encouraging and enabling them to save for
their retirement. To address the longevity risks among workers in unorganized sector and to encourage them to voluntarily save for
their retirement, the company acts as the CRA for managing the administration and customer services for APY subscribers.
National Identification- It provides services like Aadhar registrations, authentication, e-KYC, and e-Sign facilities. It has been
entrusted by the UIDAI (Unique Identification Authority of India) as a registrar for Aadhar cards. Sectors like BFSI (Banking, Financial
Services and Insurance) are their major customer requiring verification services.
• GST Services- It offers GST (Goods & Sales Tax) verification services to validate GST records, monitor GST filing history along with an
API (Application programming interface) based integration to the GST Network. The company’s APIs makes it easier to file for GST
and e-invoicing.
• Education financing solutions- The company developed an online portal for the Government projects like ‘Vidya Lakshmi’ and
‘Vidyasaarthi’. The Vidya Lakshmi initiative is an education loan portal developed under the guidance of Ministry of Finance and
Ministry of Education and the Indian Banks’ Association. Under this, students can avail of education loans through scheduled banks
and the platform acts as a gateway through which students can apply for loan. The Vidyasaarthi initiative provides underprivileged
students financial assistance via corporate-funded scholarships. Students seeking education scholarship can search and apply for
various education finance schemes that they are eligible for on the portal.
• ONDC- The ONDC is a digital project of the government to redefine the e-commerce landscape and to standardize the process of onboarding retailers on e-marketplaces for selling products through an online channel. The company has been an early contributor and
supporter of building the digital landscape of the ONDC platform.
Transaction fees- Majority of the revenue comes from this
segment (~₹584 cr). Whenever the company issues or re-issues
PAN & TIN, any consumer opens an account in the NPS or APY,
it collects fees on the same which could be either in annuity
form or a fixed one-time. It also earns on the total subscriber
base of the pension. In terms of identification, every e-KYC,
verification as well as e-Sign leads to a transactional revenue
for the firm.
• Accounts maintenance fees- Remaining of the revenue (~₹157
cr) comes from the general digital maintenance of its
customers. The repository of taxpayers, pensioners, even the
overall tech data stack of providing data insights, analytics and
digital on-boarding generates income for the company.
ABOUT THE COMPANY- MARKET SHARE
In terms of the company’s major business of PAN and TIN issuance, as well NPS and APY, it has no listed peers and thus enjoys a high
market share. The rest of the market share belongs with Government entities and portals.
SECTOR OUTLOOK
The domestic IT service revenue would grow by a CAGR of 7%-9% from 2023-2027. The growth would majorly be led by
technology and platform upgradation, and e-governance initiatives of the central and state governments. Further, the government
and its various agencies are expected to remain the largest contributor to domestic IT revenue.
• The PAN Card in India is mandatory to file tax returns in India. The number of PAN cards as of FY22 in India stood at ~61 crore and
is expected to rise annually by ~5-6 crore to reach 88-90 crore of cards by FY27. PAN card allotment is expected to be driven by
expansion in taxpayer base, growth in financial inclusion, thereby mandating the usage of PAN cards, working age population, GDP
growth, and increasing contribution of the formal economy.
The individual taxpayer base in India stood at 8.2 crore as of FY19 and is expected to reach 17 crore by FY27, thereby growing by a
CAGR of 9%-10%. Over 60% of India’s population is in the working age bracket of 15-59 years and this bracket is expected to grow
to above 60% in the next decade. The overall working age population is expected to reach ~94 crore by 2026.
• The number of subscribers for NPS and APY stood at 5.2 crore as of FY22 and is expected to grow by a CAGR of 16%-17% to reach
11-15 crore. The total Assets of NPS and APY stood at ₹7,366 billion during FY22 and the same is expected to grow by a CAGR of
23%-24% to reach ₹20,000-₹21,000 billion by FY27.
• The volume of Digital transactions as of December 2022 stood at 43.4 billion and is expected to grow by a CAGR of 40%-42% to
reach ~425 billion by FY27. As the digital transactions rise, the need for e-authentication, e-signs and others would rise in tandem.
The Government pushing for higher digital adoption with paperless operations would drive growth for digital authentication
services.
• The ONDC platform went live in September 2022 and as of September 2023, it is present in more than 400 cities. It has onboarded
1.8 lakh sellers across the country with some renowned brands like Boat, Dunzo, PayTM, Delhivery and more. India has more than
19,000 e-commerce companies and by 2027 the ONDC platform could add 5.8 crore users to e-commerce, with the overall ecommerce penetration in overall retail reaching 11%.
PROMOTER BACKGROUND
Suresh Kumar Sethi is the Managing Director and Chief
Executive Officer of the company. He holds a bachelor’s
degree in engineering in electronics from Chandigarh. He
has over 30 years of experience in the financial services
industry. Prior to this role, he was the managing director
and chief executive officer of India Post Payments Bank.
Jayesh Waman Sule is the Whole-time director and the
Chief Operating Officer and has been associated with the
company since inception. He holds a bachelor’s degree in
commerce from the University of Bombay. He was
previously associated with NSDL and has over two decades
of experience in capital markets and IT-enabled services.
RISK FACTORS
The company is substantially dependent on the Government entities and agencies for winning contracts, which adds a client type
concentration risk. Any inability of winning projects could adversely impact business operations.
• The company’s business model is manpower intensive, therefore the inability to attract and retain skilled manpower could
impact the operations of the business. The current low employee base of the company could be deemed insufficient in timely
completion of any projects.
• As they majorly deal with the Government, there could be instances of low pricing power which could lead to inaccurate pricing
structures that is not in tandem with the related costs.
• The company deals with highly sensitive data and any security breach could adversely affect the reputation and profitability of
the business.
• The company’s business model requires them to obtain, renew or maintain statutory & regulatory permits, licenses and
approvals, and any delay or inability in obtaining, renewing or maintaining such permits, licenses and approvals could result in an
adverse effect on operations.
• It relies on third-party providers for some of their software and equipment needs and thus any breakdown in such systems could
negatively affect the company’s operations, causing delays or termination of project work.
STATEMENT OF PROFIT AND LOSS
STATEMENT OF ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
1…Following is my portfolio as per july 2023.
2…From july 2023 till today , i have added following stocks
Beta drugs
paushak
Prevest denpro(new)
racl
pitti
ion exchange
mold tek packaging
3…I will update my latest portfolio with avg buy price within short time
4…I have not sold single share within this time frame
==================
Portfolio as per july 2023
1…Pix…(Rs 898)…(6.8%)…(April 2022)
2…Carysil…(Rs 247)…(6.8%)…(feb 2021)
3…Astec life … ( rs 1201)…(6.5%)…(dec 2020)
4…Apcotex …(Rs 284) …( 6.5%)…(nov 2019)
5…Pitti eng…(Rs 297)…(5.6%)…(july 2022)
6……Beta drugs(350)….(5.6%)…(aug 2021)
7…Ganesha eco(Rs 593)…(5.6%)…(aug 2021)
8.…Hindware…(Rs 382)…(5.6%)…(feb 2021)
9.…Lt food …( rs 56)…(5.6%)…(march 2019)
10…Racl(Rs 571)…(5.6%)…(feb 2022)
11…Anup…(759)…(5.6%)…(sept 2021)
12…Ion ex ……(rs 117) ……(5.6%)…(feb 2021)
13.…Kei ind…(rs 470.77 )…(4.5%)(jan 2020)
14…Moldtek pack…( 312.50)…(4.5%)…(july 2019).
15……Paushak …(rs 3196)…(4.5%)…(aug 2020)
16…Grauer&weil …(Rs 26.50 )…(3.2%)…(July 2018)
17…Stylam(1072)…(3.2%)…(Aug 2021)
18…kpr mill……(rs149)…(2.9%)…(oct 2020)
19…Other stocks…5%
A…Ratnamani …(.rs 865) …(1.0%)…(Feb 2020)
B.…Suven phar …(rs 251.64) …(0.9%)…(Aug 2020)
C.…Ccl products …(rs 270) …(0.9%)…(Feb 2019)
D……Alkyl amine@ (791.56)…( 0.8%)…(June 2020)
E……other stocks… …( 1%)…(2017-2018)
During the Bajaj Auto conference call, an intriguing discussion emerged around the economics of running CNG-powered vehicles versus electric vehicles (EVs), particularly within the context of their three-wheeler (3W) segment. Model management highlighted a compelling point: the cost per kilometer of operating a CNG vehicle is lower than that of an EV. This assertion, coupled with the ease of access and familiarity associated with refueling CNG vehicles compared to charging EVs, sparked a thought-provoking inquiry: could these factors similarly influence the PV market?
Considering Maruti’s strategic approach, which emphasizes a comprehensive focus on various fuel types rather than solely prioritizing EVs, appears accurate in light of these discussions. By maintaining a diversified portfolio across different fuel technologies.
Thoughts?
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