concall notes with technicals
q3 update pricol.pdf (2.9 MB)
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Pricol limited – OEM automotive (04-02-2024)
Godfrey Philiips – Safe value stock in a momentum chasing market (04-02-2024)
In the past few quarters, Godfrey has been reporting good nos especially when compared against peers. I am sharing some notes around domestic volume growth and export business below.
04.02.2024 (thoughts post FY24Q2 results and comparison vs peers)
- Godfrey continues double-digit domestic volume growth
- Marlboro brand grew volumes by 27% due to launch of lower priced SKUs
- ITC reported (-2%) negative volume growth
- VST reported negative volume growth
Their domestic volume growth has been consistently higher than ITC over the past many quarters. Since post COVID dip in FY21, domestic tobacco volumes has grown at almost 18% CAGR.
Another major revenue kicker has been their growing export business with Phillip Morris, especially triggered by the Ukraine Russia war. This is also benefitting other tobacco companies, but Godfrey has benefitted the most so far (look at growth in export nos below). International business has almost become 4x in last 6 years.
Disclosure: Invested (position size here, bought shares in last-30 days)
Hi-Green Carbon Ltd – Play on Renewable energy endeavoring wealth from waste (04-02-2024)
Company seems to be good, high TAM, no close national competitors. However, I had three questions-
- Since the company manufacturers Recovered carbon black (rCB), which is essentially a commodity business, how does it compare in price to virgin carbon black ( the product the company is trying to replace) ?
- What are the import risks the company faces and how is it mitigating that >
- As the Capex is only 40-50 crore for a new plant, what is stopping a big player to enter the market and start a backward integrated plant ?
Disc: Not invested, but looking to enter.
Godawari Power – Any Trackers? (04-02-2024)
Can any one guide on what would be the Revenue per tonne and EBITDA per tonne for Billets, Sponge Iron and cast iron?
UPL Ltd – global agrochemical company (04-02-2024)
improvement in the chemical cycle and interest rates cut globally may lead to some positive results
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (04-02-2024)
hi,
How to check industry group ranking for indian market? kindly elaborate.
NPST – Technology Provider for UPI Tech (04-02-2024)
Q3 FY24 Concall Highlights:
Performance Highlights:
- Revenue – 31.39 vs 10.22 cr ,210% yoy
- EBIDTA – 10.9cr vs 3.4cr, margin- 34.24% vs 33.2
- PAT – 6.5cr vs 1.8, increase of 261%
- EPS – 3.37 vs 0.93 ,261% growth YOY
Business updates –
- Psp side- First big deal is Bharat pay bill payment solutions which allows to reach out to more banks and allows to give solutions around license
and SAAS model.
- Bhart billpay is biller aggregators at NPCI end which can can be taken as service by banks and other payment aggregators.
- API solution -Added more accounts into last quarter.
- Issued 2 new bonus share for each share.
- Added Savita Vashist as exec. director with 2 decades of exp. of building businesses in software domain and international presence.
- Mrs Panchi as independent dir. to strengthen overall security and tech space.
- Awarded by economic times as top performing SME of the year & honored by Nav bharat for innovation in fintech space.
- UPI volume- 11 billion per month , 40-45% is peer to merchant transaction.
- Consumer pattern is changing and people are confident abt security and regulations by RBI.
- Consistent investment in R&D lab and focused on new products and increasing capabilities.
- Guidance – non-linear growth , creating products without any cost esclation and grow the revenue for each incremental cost.
- Revenue by Segment: EVOK business -65-70% ,license and services from banks -31-35%,
- API rollout and other apis- technically its there in Autopay and payout, working on functional side -would be able to launch this qrtr.
- Project expenses of 10 cr – cost involved for sharing in with banks and third parties involved.
- International opportunties- Exploring but it would take time as cycle is lengthier nearly 12-18 months.
- TSP business- It takes lot of time but its a robust revenue model,- first needs to be eligilble & empanelled into BOB, canara, bank of maharastra,
- In TSP, added new product all together and in evok – new large merchants,
- New subsidiary Timepay – to act as payment aggregators
- evok business- 5000 cr of gross transaction, Added 6 more accounts.
Disclaimer -Invested and biased.
Kaveri seeds company limited — kscl (04-02-2024)
Buy back regulations allow for increase in price up to 1 day before record date. Record date announcement will happen later.
Tube invest india ltd (04-02-2024)
Tube invest india ltd has recently posted Q3 results, in which they have showed other income of Rs.551 cr. Can you tell me what is the source of this income?
Pharma || Hospitals || Diagnostics : Industry perspective (04-02-2024)
In hospitals, Brand is associated with Clinical Outcomes and the complexity of procedures. These are done when you have the best Doctors and the latest Equipment. if your and loved one’s life depends upon the operation you will do the research. The way new hospitals try to cover this by building 5 star buildings but outcomes are what matters. More complex surgeries you do more image builds for hospitals and famous people get operated and legacy is built.
Insurance companies and TPA would like to squeeze the margins of these hospitals but people can decide not take insurance from companies that don’t cover good hospitals. so the power of good hospital chain is immense. Think Breach Candy in Mumbai or Mayo Clinic in the US.
All the great Pharma company’s products even if it Novo Nordisk Ozempic will be recommended and can be sold by Hospitals.
No one is shopping for a cheap hospital esp with insurance. Life is precious so pricing power is unlimited.