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Posts tagged Value Pickr
Vedant Fashions (Manyavar) – Niche Branded Retail (18-01-2024)
Any news or view, apart from market correction, which is leading to this non-stop decline in the stock price? One main reason is valuation (in my view) aided by unjustifying lower growth rates and the patchy seasonality of business.
But any other reason or factor which Mr. Market is looking at?
INOX Wind (18-01-2024)
Mr. Devansh Jain’s recent interview where he shares tranaformation journey and way forward for Inox wind…
Good discussion. Must watch.
● Windpower is not an industry in which you can overnight invest in and come in. It’s a complex supply chain. Certification, design, testing, licence, credibility ( of turbine ) takes atleast 3 years to build.So, its 4-5 years journey before Anybody else comes in and takes market share.
● Foreign MNCs can’t compete with our cost structure. Inox wind has lowest cost structure in Wind industry.
● If FY 26 is 7-8 GW market, then we are priming ourself to be
1.5 – 2 GW player.
● planning to make inox green 10 GW O&M company (500 Cr. Ebitda)
● We can increase capacity within 8-9 months, if required.
Disc: Invested & biased
Fireside chat with Mr. Devansh Jain, Executive Director, Inox Wind
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (18-01-2024)
Assuming some subjectivity towards certain fund houses, AUM size etc exists, resulting in some fund houses being removed, the remaining funds wont be too many. So we can check manually as the expense ratio and turnover are available. Also, not all fund houses are present in all the categories.
And fund managers change with in the schemes, and also move to other fund AMCs, so it helps to read and watch their interviews, because churn turnover can be based on real time, whereas philosophies are usually long term.
Ksolves – a newage software development firm (18-01-2024)
It’s normal movement in any small or micro cap companies particularly on any event day.
Investing Basics – Feel free to ask the most basic questions (18-01-2024)
Is there an online tool to sort mutual funds (equity or hybrid) by expense ratio and portfolio turnover. All sites I have checked just stress on returns which doesn’t tell much about fund manager behaviour.
THanks
South Indian Bank (18-01-2024)
any insight on latest concall happened today and results announced?
HDFC Bank- we understand your world (18-01-2024)
We need to also look at Deposit growth at other banks.
If they are also struggling to grow Deposits in line with their Loan growth then this is industry wide phenomenon. To some extent it could be happening due to cash requirements during certain periods or people are shifting money to RBI Floating Rate Bonds, Post Office and Equity MF(s). We need to look at trends of these 3 instruments as well.
Certainly Equity MF SIP has moved up in 2023, so that could be one of the reasons but we can not jump to conclusions so easily.
I believe that, BFSI sector is going through lean period in terms of Share Price growth. This is also evident in Kotak Bank. Kotak Bank is doing much better but still their share price is standstill during 2023. So we need to look at reasons for the BFSI sector as well.
Phantom Digital Effects Limited (18-01-2024)
Mark these words from Mr. Bejoy Founder and CEO of Phantom digital
Success of Ayalaan movie will be a transformative stepping stone for the rise of Indian VFX industry and Indian cinema
I am sure Ayalaan, HanuMan movies success would have become talk of the town in Industry circles
Sharing my thoughts on the same
What it means for Indian VFX Industry and Indian Cinema
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Hollywood genres like Sci-Fi / Superhero movies which were largely un attempted or half attempted before can be made in India …HanuMan director has plans to make some 10 other Superhero movies, one is already in pipeline… Ayalaan director Ravikumar is only interested in Sci-Fi movies and his next also will be same including Ayalaan 2… and I am sure more movie makers will be already thinking in similar lines
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Budget is not a constraint, we can do it below 100-150 Crs …unlike the previous VFX heavy movie hits like Baahubali, RRR
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Technical capabilities and Quality is not a constraint…We don’t need to hire Hollywood Studios for making these kind of films…Indian VFX studios like Phantom digital has proven that they can handle large & complex projects alone
What it means for PhantomFX
- Brand Image – Ayalaan has put PhantomFX in one of the top Indian VFX studios to work with …It has become a popular name for Tamil audience …they would be interested to have their favourite Hero project handled by PhantomFX vs any unknown company
Note, Brand image also plays a key role in attracting talent and retaining them
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More projects – Given the quality and technical capabilities a directors top choices will have PhantomFX in the list…Also
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High chances are that Dir. Ravikumar will be working again with PhantomFX for his next projects
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Ayalaan 2 – Director, Producer and Hero at different times mentioned that they have plans for Ayalaan 2 (movie too ends with scope for part 2), but I guess this will depend on success of its Telugu, Hindi versions that would give them confidence and clarity on what scale it has to be taken up…with IP rights, for sure Phantom will be working for this series too
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Co-producer model – Unlike a service provider who is not worried about the success of the movie, producer will be more than happy to work with companies like Phantom willing to share risk and also providing a dedicated team putting their heart out there working right from the ideation stage ensuring that their baby is delivered with utmost quality…
This model looks a win-win for both … Phantom would bag more projects and bigger pie of VFX work along with IP rights for VFX models…but, given the risks in production Phantom has to make sure that their Investments are secured and 100% recoverable with learnings if any from Ayalaan
Needless to say about the advantage it gets over its competitors while increasing chances for grabbing more Hollywood projects
Disc: Invested and positive on VFX Segment
Karan’s small/micro cap portfolio (18-01-2024)
Hey Lary,
Just wanted to chat about this crazy market, especially in the small and micro-cap space. It’s all frothy and bubbly like a latte art competition gone overboard, right? Makes me nervous when things get that hot and spicy. As they say, “Even ugly ducklings look like swans in a bull run,” and I don’t wanna be fooled by feathers!
Remember, I’m a “Ralph Wanger wannabe,” always on the hunt for growth stocks at fair prices. But in this market, it’s like finding a needle in a haystack wearing a price tag saying “50% off!” Two big hurdles pop up:
Will this growth last? Can these companies keep soaring like kites with helium rockets strapped on?
Where’s the fair price? Everything’s inflated like a birthday balloon! Bargains are rarer than a unicorn riding a T-Rex.
So, my crystal ball sees high inflation (think roller coaster prices but even crazier) and broken supply chains (like trying to order pizza delivered to Mars). That’s why I’m playing it safe in commodities, pharma/healthcare, utilities, and staples. Think boring stuff like sugar, medicine, and electricity – the essentials, you know? It’s tough finding exciting startups in utilities, but hidden gems lie waiting in pharma/API/CDMO land. If you’re curious, check out this gentleman called Sajal Kapoor – he is a rockstar in that space. And for commodities, keep an eye on green options, carbon black, and food (gotta eat, right?).
My article on the same – LLama Research on LinkedIn: #llamaresearch #investmentinsights #indiamarket #globaleconomy…
Anyway, feel free to hit me up outside the virtual world if you wanna explore this further, as I cannot name stocks anymore (Regulations).
Cheers,
Karan