you need to check the break-up of debt. long term debt is decreasing from 128cr. to 91 cr. from fy21 to fy23 . whereas short term debt is increased by 373 cr. to 507 cr. i think management intent is to reduce long term debt . because currently 50% + business is value added so they have to maintain high inventory in these segment . so working capital is always remains streched . due to this short term debt can further increase from here because they are target 75% business from value added in fy25 . Its more of a nature of business ( pix , racl and other high inventory value added business ) .
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Cosmo Films – Diffentiated player in commodity business (04-10-2023)
Can you share the S&P report? or the Source link?
MCX and Financial Technologies (04-10-2023)
Even if they werent able to offer contracts from January onwards for a period of 2-3 months, even then the probability of liquidity moving to another platform is small. Main reason is that all contracts on the futures side (except energy) are compulsorily deliverable. That means that there is a vast warehouse network that underpins the digital trading. NSE or another exchange wont be able to replicate that quickly. If they cant do that, then buying compulsorily deliverable contracts becomes extremely risky (even if you have no intention of taking delivery). See what happened to oil futures contracts in USA in March 2020 when it was impossible to take delivery. Most likely, SEBI is arm twisting and will reverse their stance and allow MCX to launch new contracts in a worst case scenario.
In any case, options isnt a threat since NSE isnt even allowed to launch most contracts since they dont meet the 1000 cr minimum ADT criteria.
Disc: Invested
Cosmo Films – Diffentiated player in commodity business (04-10-2023)
@jitnep If we further connect it to olefins supply-demand outlook…According to S&P reports and insider comments, the supply of polyethylene (PE) is expected to lenghten due to many Chinese plants starting their commissioning. Initially, packaging manufacturers were predicting that the demand for polypropylene (PP) and PE would rise by the end of 2023, but the current outlook has changed.
There are noises about combined effect of inflation and Federal Reserve rates, there are concerns that the demand for the plastic packaging products in EU/US might stay slow for around 2 years.
Saregama India Ltd: India’s premier music publishing label (04-10-2023)
Management had clearly mentioned at the time of QIP and reiterated many times after that the QIP proceeds will only be used for acquisition of music content. This is a clear reversal of that stance. Yet again the absolutely terrible governance and capital allocation policies of the group on show. Its a mystery why they cant just channel the cashflows of the extremely profitable retro music catalogue into just acquiring new music.
Mahanagar Gas Ltd – a natural monopoly (04-10-2023)
Mahanagar Gas – Story slowly unfolding.
Future Prospects –
-
Entered i MOU with BMC to set up to set up CBG plant in Mumbai with a capacity of 1000 tons per day.(Reducing carbon footprints – Which EV sector has not achieved)
-
Entered MoU with Baidyanath LNG for setting up LNG stations in Maharashtra and outside also.
-
MGL also launched a mobile application MGL-TEZ in partnership with the BEST, the
transport company in Mumbai to facilitate convenient refueling for CNG commercial vehicle. -
As far as our Raigad GA is concerned, they have connected 69,106 domestic households and 29
CNG stations are currently operating there. -
The Savroli station, which is having LNG dispensing facility also was recently commissioned.
And they have started filling LNG into the vehicles from the Savroli station. -
MSRTC currently, they are running about 120-plus CNG buses. And they are expected to roll out 450 more buses to be inducted in 8 MSRTC depots in MGL geographical areas by November or December of this year. So about 50, 60 or so will add on every month.
(So those 450 buses will definitely contribute to volume addition over the next 2 quarters) -
They have recently commissioned online CNG filling facility for the vendor Vithalwadi Depot.
And are in the process of setting up CNG infrastructure in 6 more of their depots which are at:
Panvel, Karjat, Pen, Roha, Alibaug, Uran. -
MGL has signed a Share Purchase Agreement to acquire 100 per cent stake of Unison Enviro Private Limited (UEPL).
This acquisition will enable MGL to expand to newer geographical areas in Maharashtra (Ratnagiri, Latur & Osmanabad) and Karnataka (Chitradurga & Davanagere) thereby providing new avenues for long term growth.
Disclosure – Not Invested
RACL Geartech Limited (04-10-2023)
Company is sponsoring BMW GS Trophy India qualifier 2023 as a title sponsor for the first time. First attempt of brand promotion at a premium biking event
Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals (04-10-2023)
Some key updates:
-
SGX has launched Ammonia Futures, citing other use cases of Ammonia (to make hydrogen) which can give us a sense of Ammonia Prices: Ammonia – Singapore Exchange (SGX)
-
Average Ammonia Cost Quoted in Monthly Bulletin | Department of Fertilizers is 314 USD and looking at futures looks like in September was upwards of USD 400. This falls closer to profitable ranges for the new Ammonia Plant. Major supplier in Saudi Arabia Maaden has been in shutdown affecting spot ammonia availability. Although this is a weak quarter, the EBIDTA might get a good lift from ammonia profitability. Or at-least should be able to deliver the proof-of-concept for the same for the month of September.
-
IPA prices have shot up by 30.0% on YoY basis and 40% in past 3 months. Deepak Fertilizers and Deepak Nitrite are the only domestic manufactures of these.
-
Demerger to complete in Q3 as per management. Should unlock strategic investments and if re-listed offer tremendous upside. This is primarily because chemical businesses like IPAs and Mining should get much higher PE as they fall under speciality chemicals. Company is also working on solar nitric acid and steel grade nitric acid. TAN sales should pick up in Q3.
Markets are always forward looking, hence I believe there should be some upside in this stock soon. Looks promising on 1-year horizon.
Disclosure – Invested
Cosmo Films – Diffentiated player in commodity business (04-10-2023)
BOPP prices have crashed 30 Rs in last 15-20 days.
BOPET price now at 96.
As indicated previously, there is mismatch between supply and demand. Huge capacity additions had happened and cycle turned. I believe OPMS will further come down. Few companies in the sector may even show losses on net level.
Xpro India – getting bigger? (04-10-2023)
Thank you all for the above points.
I was trying to find competitors of Bruckner who make film capacitor manufacturing machinery, does anyone have any information on this?
@sahil_vi: Thank you for sharing your conversation with the ex Bruckner employee. Did you get any such information through your conversations and findings?