Thank you. I only have a beginner-level academic interest in stocks so I am not familiar with the terms you have mentioned. Would you mind sending me some relevant links on these? Thanks.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
My long term portfolio (22-12-2015)
Good businesses. You have 38% in Granules. Depending on how much absolute cash is in that…it is high number anyway. I assume you are monitoring the business like a Hawk. 
and willing to take corrective action at the first sign of trouble. Else you will get very expensive education in the virtue of diversification.
Automated Stock Analyzer (22-12-2015)
Very nice workkkk !!!!!
Automated Stock Analyzer (22-12-2015)
Dear Pattu,
Appreciate the humongous effort & super skills. Would request you to add few more graphs which could further make the analyser attractive and insightful. Just a suggestion 
Quarterly or yearly EVA (economic value add), Intrinsic value graph- Flashback & Forecast
Let me know if this sounds doable or impractical.
Nevertheless- thanks again for such wonderful stuff !!
Steel Strips Wheels Limited – Attractive Valuations (22-12-2015)
Hi guyz,
Kalnik and SSWL has joined hands to start a plant in Gujarat for manufacturing Alloy wheels – where Kalnik already has mastery in making and SSWL has market knowledge. It has to be an agreement between both the parties to take a stake in the company at 640/- and have a decision taking authority at the board level (for Kalnik). If Kalnik goes and get the shares from the open market (simply it can get in next 2 days – daily volume of 2lac shares), it would not get the control required for doing business. I think its a green flag.
The worry to me is the ROE and ROCE – ROE is around 11.94% and ROCE is much less around 7.50%.
If we conduct du pont analysis – financial leverage is high enough, NP margins are higher than the peers or almost same, the problem seems in the Asset turnover. Sales are not growing at good rate. Company claims to have bagged great orders recently, but the same is not getting reflected in its performance. Sales of other peers have grown decently. Any clue/hint here.
What about the mgmt – I feel mgmt is decent enough – TATA steel and other global players are its partners. But, need to dig more into integrity of promoters. Anyone having inputs here?
Multidisciplinary analysis:- Maggi fiasco (22-12-2015)
Pyschology
Pavlovian and denial effect has caused the sales of 5-6 crores in last 2 months which is normally it used to sell before crisis.
Please find the article in times of india.Refer to last 4 paragraphs.
“http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/cons-products/food/nestle-india-gears-up-to-launch-more-maggi-variants/articleshow/50267318.cms”
Problem:- I expected more sales as normally the loss aversion, denial and pavlovian will cause people to come back more and sales to be more (1.5x- 2x).I think either sample size is small and will wait for one year after crisis to recheck the theory.
Introduction & Portfolio (22-12-2015)
Although we have a tendency to appreciate management when stocks rising and doubt their credibility when its falling. But your observation is correct. Esp Lanco. Eros is still ok types. However considering Lanco is in infra, was reeling under court cases and other problems its stock seems to be bitten down. I am hoping they will turn around – won cases, started generating power to haryana & also raising fresh capital. Having said that lanco is still a speculative bet……bit of experimentation
How do you do management quality check- suggest a systematic/practical method. Going to AGMs, meeting etc are not possible for me.
Introduction & Portfolio (22-12-2015)
Could you please qualify your statement that BKT is below average with facts and rationale?
Introduction & Portfolio (22-12-2015)
I am invested in Balkrishna Ind for last 4-5 years. Still holding. This is good stock and hold on to it.
But I am not sure about your picks like Lanco, Intellect design, EROS, Unitech etc. The seasoned investors have raised concerns on their accounting and business practices. Lanco is clear red flag in your portfolio at the moment. The management is suspect. Be very careful.
You said you just started investing using value investing tenets. That is good. It should help you in the long run. But I suggest you also add promoter quality check in your due diligence. In the long run you will thank yourself for that. In fact I run that check immediately after the quick analysis of the numbers and valuation before I do more detailed analysis and due diligence.
UFlex Ltd – Short term opportunity? (22-12-2015)
Do not invest in this company. The promoter is convicted criminal. I invested years ago and within 3 months news came that he is going to jail. I lost 35% money in days. I sold at loss and came out. The CMD is Chor. Do not partner with him.