I found following video very helpful. May be, it will help you also. Also, Harsh Beria’s portfolio thread can give you some direction
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZNs63eKNAk
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Omkar’s Portfolio Analysis and Discussion (18-08-2024)
Companies with 20%+ growth guidance for next few years (18-08-2024)
Can you share the proof that management has cleared these allegations? Don’t just write for the sake of reply. Please provide details.
IDFC First Bank Limited (18-08-2024)
It would take few days for the shares to be credited to the shareholders of IDFC
HDFC Bank- we understand your world (18-08-2024)
Generally, NBFC’s have a high credit-to-deposit ratio because they don’t have SLR or CRR. So they lend a very large portion of their deposits, whereas when it comes to banks, it is not possible. So when a NBFC merges with a bank, the CD ratio generally increases for the bank. But in the case of HDFC Bank, it went above 100. So they have to slow down the gear of lending to 1 or 2 or shift the gear of deposit growth to 5 or 6. What is suspecious for me is: what is the reason for the hurry to merge HDFC with HDFC Bank soon after the pandemic? There were rumors that a large chunk of builder loan of HDFC is in verge of defaulting, so to tackle the situation, they have merged it with the HDFC Bank. I don’t know whether it is true or not. As a result of the merger, HDFC Bank shareholders who held the shares prior to the merger did not benefit significantly. The merger has actually had a bad impact on the shareholders, as the EPS has fallen now compared to pre-merger. I think the bad result of HDFC’s pandemic loan book is now affecting the shareholders of HDFC Bank as well.
Apeejay Surendra Park Hotels – Potential Value Unlocking (18-08-2024)
Samhi is not a direct competitor since it has adopted an acquisition led strategy which is underpinned by its process of acquiring and successfully turning around hotels to grow its business. Unlike brands such as EIH, Lemon tree Hotels or Park, the company operates hotels under reputed chains such as Marriott, Hyatt and Sheraton. However, it offers the mid-premium segment such as Fairfield by Marriott or Hyatt Place which are usually 4-star hotels
Samhi hotels has reported losses for the last three consecutive year, which is primarily attributed to high leverage and lead time to turnaround underperforming hotels
Bajaj Finance Limited (18-08-2024)
Got it, thanks Shiv.
HDFC Bank- we understand your world (18-08-2024)
Due to the merger with HDFC ltd (which was a mortgage lender so didn’t take any deposits, correct me if I’m wrong), the CD ratio, Credit part of the lender was added while deposits didn’t grow hence the ratio jumped to above 100%. Another point to note is that there must be some loan structuring etc that might be happening since we don’t know if HDFC had the same standards as HDFC Bank when it comes to loan recovery, etc.
As I mentioned about the acceptable ratio previously which is around 80% and less, others won’t have this issue as they already are in the acceptable range.
So it’s basically the problem for HDFC Bank, not for others, as even if others grow their credit and deposit ~ equally, they won’t have the problem but for HDFC Bank at whatever growth they have, they have an added compulsion of making sure Credit < Deposit.
All in all, once this issue is sorted, we might see rerating.
This will pertain till RBI is tightening it’s noose. I personally think it’s good for them to have a tight noose to reduce slippage, etc since we’re moving into credit based society as consumerism/premiumization keeps on increasing. If you’ve observed the recent results of microfinance, you’ll notice that MFI is not at all healthy these days. Of course it may not be related to larger banks, but still we don’t know how big a picture that RBI is seeing.
Happy to receive feedbacks.
DCX Systems Ltd (18-08-2024)
The first part. I think post IPO salaries have gone up for the top guys quite well, this low salary was pre IPO as per DRHP, maybe there are some technicalities here. You could the check the AR for current salaries.
The second part is visible in the FY23 AR and certainly needs to be checked. The co has taken approval for procurement of around Rs 800 cr from 1 entity and utilised around 700+ last year.
I think this was being referred to.
Small Pharma, Big Dreams: Inside Sanjivani Paranteral’s Growth Plan (18-08-2024)
Not enough history to establish ability of promoters to grow the business from here. Immediate milestones to track is operationalising of JV with Hindustan Antibiotics & the one in Prague.