1. devansh.goel

    devansh.goel New Member

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    Hi guys,
    DHFL looks great to me. Just want to stir up a discussion regarding the same. What are the views of the forum on buying DHFL @CMP(465)?
    Also, what parameters do you guys track for analysing a Housing Finance Co. (PE, PEG, P/B ???) ;)
     
  2. Meenakshi Razdan

    Meenakshi Razdan Administrator Staff Member Moderator

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    I agree Dewan Housing is looking good. It is presently quoting a P/BV of 1.8 which is cheap compared to the valuations of 5.29 for Repco. Even LICHF and CanFin are quoting at slightly more expensive valuations of 2.88 and 2.03 than Dewan.

    I have both, Repco and Dewan, in my portfolio and intend to hold on for a long-time.
     
  3. nvick

    nvick New Member

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    i would also like to buy DHFL. as it is 1 of the cheapest stock available when compared to P/BV.
    its a long term multibagger. one cld c a target close to 800 in long term. also the interest rates wld fall which wld be very positive for stocks such as dhfl.
     
  4. devansh.goel

    devansh.goel New Member

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    Hey,
    I entered DHFL yesterday. Everything looks good apart from the Debt/Equity = 9.8. That looks like the only downside to me. Should I be worried about it??
    I think that Debt may be due to them moving to bigger ticket loans aiming at the upper middle class. But still, it is not a ratio I'd prefer.
    As for the interest rate, I foresee a fall of at least a percent in the next two years. So, that'll be a huge positive for DHFL.
     
  5. Meenakshi Razdan

    Meenakshi Razdan Administrator Staff Member Moderator

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    For Banks & NBFCs, money is stock-in-trade. They borrow at x rate and lend at x+ rate. So, high levels of leverage/ debt is natural. What they have to ensure is to remain within the capital adequacy norms prescribed by the RBI.

    What we, as investors, have to watch out for is the stringency of the credit appraisal process. Lending money is an easy business because there is no dearth of borrowers. However, who you lend it to and whether you can recover it in time is the difficult part. Because of the high levels of leverage, is the debt goes bad, it can threaten the existence of the lender.

    The stringent credit appraisal process is why lenders like HDFC Bank and Gruh Finance command such high premiums as compared to other lenders, especially the PSU Banks.
     
  6. abhay6605

    abhay6605 Member

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    i am holding in my portfolio it seems some more downside :'( is visible up to result then it will shut up .... ;)
    canses rating of all brokers is positive near about tp 600
     
  7. devansh.goel

    devansh.goel New Member

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    Thanks.... cleared some of my doubts
     
  8. Meenakshi Razdan

    Meenakshi Razdan Administrator Staff Member Moderator

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    Please see the initiating coverage research report by IndiaNivesh on Dewan Housing:

    "Dewan Housing Finance Corporation (DHFL) was incorporated in 1984 by Shri Rajesh
    Kumar Wadhawan. DHFL primarily provides housing finance to individuals, especially to
    the low and lower-middle-income groups in Tier II, Tier III and Tier IV cities. The company also offers non-housing loans such as loan against properties (LAP) and developer loans. DHFL has a total AUM of Rs 526 bn with pan-India presence, with customer touch points at 574 locations as of December 31, 2014. DHFL operates in the mortgage financing business where growth and asset quality have remained healthy in the last few years."

    https://rakesh-jhunjhunwala.in/stock_research/StocksDB/topic/dewan-housing-initiating-coverage-research-report-by-indianivesh/dewan_housing_finance_corporation_initiating_coverage_apr_2015/
     
  9. Vidhi Khanna

    Vidhi Khanna Active Member Staff Member

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    DHFL great buy: Prakash Diwan

    Prakash Diwan of Altamount Capital Management told CNBC-TV18, "Housing finance is what we think is changing into a very different paradigm of sorts. Couple of developments that have quietly happened. One is this real estate regulatory bill that has come in. It is like the neighbourhood has got safer with the cops station coming in and it makes people more comfortable buying houses, buying houses from the right guys and that is going to propel a lot of decision making. People who are sitting on the fence in terms of buying or going out and taking housing loans, buying houses, that is going to start."

    "You will see a real change in inventory pickup in that segment. So, it is going to impact real estate positively but selectively. Transmission of interest rates is always something which spurs this decision again positively. So, that combination is going to be very good. We will probably wait for another two quarters but all these companies, GIC Housing , Can Fin Homes which are not as highly priced as LIC Housing or a Gruh Finance would benefit. DHFL for instance is a great buy," he said.

    Read more at: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/stocks-views/dhfl-great-buy-prakash-diwan_1353162.html?utm_source=ref_article
     
  10. Srouta Mukherjee

    Srouta Mukherjee Well-Known Member

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    Buy Dewan Housing; target of Rs 724: Motilal Oswal

    DEWH has registered 10 year loan CAGR of 43% and has now become a sizeable player with AUM of over INR520b and 3.8% mortgage market share. Given the huge unmet demand for affordable housing and concomitant housing finance, we expect 27% CAGR in DEWH’s AUM over FY14-17. Easing wholesale rates and rating upgrade for DEWH’s debt instruments would help lower its cost of funds and aid margins. Valuations at 1.1x FY17E ABV appear attractive, given the visibility on business growth, superior asset quality and improving return ratios.

    "DEWH continues to perform well on growth and asset quality front. While margins have inched up, Ratings upgrade coupled with reduction in base /wholesale rates are likely to aid margins. Moreover management’s commitment to bring down cost structure can provide delta to earnings. We expect AUM CAGR of 27%over FY14-17, and estimate RoA/RoE at 1.4%/20% for FY17. Better than expected growth and cost control should provide upsides to our RoA/RoE estimates. Valuations at 1.3x/1.1x FY16/17E ABV is attractive and at significant discount to peers (refer exhibit 1). Strong visibility on business growth, superior asset quality and improving return ratios. Reiterate Buy with target price of INR724, valuing stock at 1.75x FY17E adjusted book value", says Motilal Oswal research report.

    Read more at: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/recommendations/buy-dewan-housing-targetrs-724-motilal-oswal_1288023.html?utm_source=ref_article
     
  11. Vidhi Khanna

    Vidhi Khanna Active Member Staff Member

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    Re: Dewan Housing Q4FY15 result update

    Dewan Housing Finance Ltd (DHFL) reported 14.9% YoY and 1.6% QoQ growth in PAT which stood at Rs 162.1 cr in Q4FY15. AUM growth was healthy at 27% YoY and 8% QoQ. Asset quality was broadly stable with GNPA at 0.77%. For FY15, the company reported PAT of Rs 621 cr up 17.5% YoY.

    ....

    At CMP, the stock is trading at 1.22x and 1.08x FY16E and FY17E BVPS and 8.03x and 6.71x FY16E and FY17E EPS respectively which we believe is attractive. We have maintained our BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 556 (1.4x FY17E BV) indicating an upside of 29.2% from current levels.

    (Login to download Report)
     

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