Did not think of it this way before but it makes sense. Thanks for sharing your views.
Posts in category Value Pickr
PDS Limited – A platform for entrepreneurs (29-09-2022)
Since textile industry itself is struggling, can PDS be immune to recession in the sector? That too since PDS is positioning itself as a manufacturer rather than trader / service provider.
Ishaan’s Longterm Portfolio (29-09-2022)
@Caution_Investor
Hi actually you asked ishu this question but I would like to put my view as well.
I feel in the next 5 or 8yrs most probably ICICI will overtake hdfc bank in market cap terms and become the largest bank in India. Below are the reasons why I think so,
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I have a view that banks which will have more granular advances and more towards retail and MSME will outperform banks who are more towards wholesale. If you see ICICI in last 2 to 3yrs have slowly moved towards retail segment and has been consistently outperforming HDFC bank from last 6 to 10 quarters. Why is HDFC not changing its MIX then?. HDFC is the leader in the wholesale segment and it is extremally difficult for a bank of HDFC size to change its entire MIX. ICICI took 3 yrs and a recent example is yes bank which took 2.5yrs.
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One of the major reason for bank to get better valuation than competitors is PROMOTER. because of UDAY KOTAK kotak bank gets primum valuation. HDFC was getting this because of ADITYA PURI who left the bank.
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Technological advancement is bound to happen in banking over the years. I feel ICICI is ahead of HDFC in terms of technology as well. ICICI is also more innovative and has a better product offering than HDFC bank. Banks who focus more towards retail customers will outperform and ICICI is exactly doing that. Like if you see ICICI mobile banking app is better than HDFC ( you can verify this by their rating in play store or experience yourself), ICICI investment related products are better than HDFC ( ICICI direct),
You can clearly see ICICI last 2yrs stock performance also beats HDFC bank
One last point I would like to add. A bank more towards wholesale is likely to have better financing margins and a bank more towards retail is likely to have better cross selling. If the economy is going to grow and per capta grows then the bank with more retails will have a significant gain in cross selling resulting into more profits.
RACL Geartech Limited (29-09-2022)
RACL formed a triple top today on the daily charts although with moderate volumes. If the triple top pattern plays out, the stock could go down to 340 levels. Whether or not it does that would clearly depend on the impact on its revenues and margins due to the energy crisis in Europe.
I had reduced my position by half after last Qtr to mitigate Europe related risks but I plan to continue to hold the remaining quantity and add on significant dips. From a 3 year POV, significant dips from here can provide great buying opportunities in my opinion as I don’t think RACL’s or its customers’ fundamental business capabilities will be impacted in any significant way over a 3 year period. If RACL can navigate through its tight balance sheet position, the stock should do well once this turmoil is over.
PS : None of the above is investment advice, I am very new to technical analysis and can be completely off the mark.
Mudit’s Portfolio (Passively Active) (29-09-2022)
Not studied PB fintech. What i heard is recently they have become insurance broker. Earlier they were just aggregators. But dont know much about business model. But since the product insurance is Push product. They wont get much business. Those clients who want to purchase term insurance may go.to.them, but thats not a sustainable.business. What i have seen is, generally people take term.insurance online by listeing to some so-called expert but since they have not been convinced about the utility of the product, generally in 3 to 5 years they lapse the term insurance. So life of that business is not sustainable. But business through agent has more durability, as he reminds them.for renewals as he has commission interest in renewing it. There are many isuues for online purchase of term insurance at all the 3 stages…Before purchase, while purchasing, and after sales service. Many times , online guys do not make clients aware of moral hazards and implications of mentioning wrong answers or half truths and how it will affect their claims. They , themselves dont know much.
Edelweiss Financial Services (29-09-2022)
In AGM they have indicated that there can be a stake sale in life insurance business so now we can assume it is a temporary aquisition can go up to 100% and then sale stake at premium so to be conservative we should assume 45 - 60% stake of edelweiss only
And in housing finance we can see entire stake sale (my guess)as it is not growing if you go by numbers and management is also focus on scaling asset management and insurance businesses
Happy if they use the capital to scale general insurance business to 10000 - 15000cr or give some projections
@akshatinvestor Portfolio : Compounding + Outsized Bets (29-09-2022)
Amazing stock selection sir. i am a newbie investor and would love to have you review my portfolio.
This the link to my portfolio.
Mudit’s Portfolio (Passively Active) (29-09-2022)
@Mudit.Kushalvardhan- How do you find the business model of ’ PB Fintech Ltd’? Does it have any competitive advantage in your professional world?
The business acts as a bridge between the customer and the insurance company. Their portal (policy bazaar) attracts interested customers who are easy to sell. Sold policies become a source of recurrent income in the form of commissions.
Shivam’s portfolio and investment strategy (29-09-2022)
Your Stock selection is impeccable but I don’t understand the reason for having 70% Investment is divided income stocks whose capital appreciation is very limited. Is the plan to invest the dividends into your SIP portfolio? Or some other conservative approach?
Also you mentioned your overall portfolio returns are just -4.5%, better than the Nifty returns but that can be because of the high weightage to Invits and REITs and dividend stocks. If you find the average return of your equity investments, then you might get a clearer picture of your portfolio.
Is this allocation deliberate in order to protect capital?