Hello Sir, Would you please tell me the HS code of Deodorizer Distillate. Thanks for this post…its really helpful.
Posts tagged Value Pickr
Want to point to – Story with Earnings Momentum, Turnaround, Change in Management? (09-12-2015)
Today VP audience and readership consists of different kinds of folks with possibly different ideas of how to use a platform like VP to the best advantage.
Should you want to just POINT to a new idea with growth momentum or turnaround in fortunes, or change in Management, etc and find that there is no existing thread on that, please use the Company Q&A section, that is free-format and does not impose any limitations. This section is for those who feel they are unable to find time/put in effort to analyse in-depth, but would still like to point to a promising opportunity for the Community to take forward.
Once such a thread in the company Q&A section finds interest and there is some meat in the discussions, it will happen organically that someone else who has the passion will consolidate arguments/counter-arguments and initiate a proper discussion on the opportunity in the Stocks Opportunity section.
Stocks Opportunity section – is known for quality/rigour of analysis. In that section we will insist on the Idea Initiator to take RESPONSIBILITY, and
a) write a balanced initial post – adhering to VP Guidelines
b) respond/examine counter-arguments (to one’s invested/tracking ideas)
c) make the TIME to work further on his/her proposed idea in collaboration with others
We expect everyone to respect/adhere to VP Guidelines – it is for our own good. If you are a responsible member, you will not expect other members/moderators/admin to clean up after you.
Possible disruption by Patanjali Yogapeeth (09-12-2015)
sorry, but I do not buy the logic here with due respect to you –
If people were panicked due to shortage of food/biscuits, I don’t think people would bother about buying a certain brand, all brands immaterial of local, non-local, organised, unorganised will fly off the shelfs. What you observed might be true and it might show the brand strength or initial ‘try it out’ behaviour but not due to panic/flood situation.
Possible disruption by Patanjali Yogapeeth (09-12-2015)
There was a full page article on Patanjali some two days back: http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/specials/the-monk-who-wants-abilliondollar-company/article7958593.ece
During the flood that ravaged Chennai, I happen to visit Big Bazaar and found that Patanjali biscuits were flying off the shelves due to panic buying/perception of scarcity and by volunteers/relief workers. The other brands of ITC, Britannia and Oreo were still available. People like ITC, HUL, Nestle and others need to be worried and they have started to advertise also.
Disc: Do not own any FMCG businesses.
Trending Sectors for 2016? (09-12-2015)
Dear Kunal
What attracts you to Pennar, I am also bullish on the same, My take is the clarity on four divisions and value added products which i think may play out going fwd along with improved focus on each of them. Also its the holdco of two good subsidiaries which in itself is valued almost at par with the parent. seems to be a good value/growth mix!!
Kaveri seeds company limited — kscl (09-12-2015)
Fresh Trouble
I haven’t tracked any previous cases, where seed companies have been asked to compensate for suspected defective seeds. So this case might set a precedent ?
Disc: I have exited KSCL around 500 levels.
Vinati Organics (09-12-2015)
Hi everyone. I am new to valuepickr and I have been recently analyzing Vinati. Has anybody been able to figure out the price and volume effect of their decline in revenue. Based on my understanding, price effect is not a cause for concern due to the nature of their customer contracts, however a fall in volume would be.
I noticed that some people were going to contact IR regarding this. Just wondering if anyone has had any success with their IR communications.
Agro Tech Foods – A small cap MNC foods FMCG (09-12-2015)
@nagpal, yes that is true. Also it has has started incurring higher depreciation from new factories where as full top and bottomline benefits are yet to accrue. Better valuation metrics would be to consider Price to Sales which makes it look cheap .
Agro Tech Foods – A small cap MNC foods FMCG (09-12-2015)
My take if Advertisement expenses are increased this should increase earning , Even If co stops advertising then also earning will increase being major expense . In theory if co stops advertisement for one year this stock will be 20 p/e stock.In future as brand becomes established the ratio of advertisement exp to sales will keep coming down which will be eps assertive.Dis :Small Exposure
Torrent Pharma Ltd (08-12-2015)
Just to add to Hitesh Bhai’s point: Currently the pharma sector (large caps) are going through some kind of re-rating. People have seen what USFDA issues have done to IPCA, Dr. Reddy’s and Sun Pharma. Most of the time market tends to overplay the negative/positive news. In case of Torrent multiple factors such as the sectoral derating, perceived absence of long term pipeline combined with the overall decline in equities is playing out. FDIs have pulled out massive money from the markets and Pharma was their sector. At the same time torrent with a market cap of nearly 25000 crores is actually a large mid-cap and it will not move into a different orbit without institutional interest (a 25% movement requires 1B $) unlike the sub 2000 crore market cap companies.
I have found a strange kind of herd mentality in how funds behave, they are fine being collectively wrong instead of taking a risk of standing out and being right. As far as numbers are concerned, for torrent it is relatively easy to work out (rough idea of marketshare of various formulation their prices the taxes paid etc.) As Hitesh Bhai said a rise in earnings will be followed by a rise in money paid out to investors and sustained performance and other superior business parameters will force the market to notice it. The same funds which shun companies come around again with a different set of reasons. I would advise you to go through their conf calls where they talk of their dividend payout ratio and upcoming surprises. Finally quoting Buffet “In the short run the markets are a voting machine but in the longer run they are a weighing machine”. Go through the story, build your own conviction, assess the risks anxd take a call.
DIsclosure: Invested. Forms more than 10% of my portfolio.