We expect HAL to deliver revenue and EBITDA CAGR of 10.3% and 14.7%, respectively, over FY22-25E. PAT is likely to grow at 14.2% CAGR (FY21-25E). Increase in profitability with strong asset turnover is expected to result in healthy return ratios over FY23-25E

The Navy’s big projects in pipeline give a longer term visibility to defence shipyard companies like Mazagon Dock, Cochin Shipyard and Garden Reach. Moreover, the need of new aircraft for INS Vikrant like twin engine deck based fighter (TEDBF) to be manufactured by HAL. With these new high tech aircraft & warships, players like Bharat Electronics & Data Patterns will also benefit significantly in the future.

HAL has hired BCG for consultation to identify areas of potential diversification, business strategy, internal restructuring and improving operational efficiency. Some of the areas of diversification are civil MRO, passenger-to-freight conversion of aircraft, UAV simulators, etc. for capturing additional revenues.