Historically Nifty has never risen for four series on the trot since June 2017 and therefore history suggests, there is a higher possibility of profit booking in the July series after three series of consecutive gains. Therefore our advise is to book profits in long positions on any rally towards 19200-19500 levels to re-enter at lower levels

table of companies (CNX 500 stocks) that offer dividend yield of 3.00% and above

We believe there will be no more pressure on earnings for FMCG companies in FY24 (earnings cut cycle is behind) while both revenues and margins should see an uptrend. We remain cautious and selective on valuation for the medium term (do not see rerating as a story); however, earnings pick-up in FY24 will continue to support FMCG stocks. We rate ITC, Dabur, GCPL, Marico, UNSP, and Colgate as ADD and HUL, Nestle, Britannia, Emami, and Radico as REDUCE

Rolling over our valuations, we retain our Nifty target at 21,500 valuing it at 20x PE on FY25 Nifty EPS of | 1,080. Corresponding target for the Sensex is at 71,600. These are our rolling 12 months’ index target

Higher open Interest in the Nifty Futures’ as compared to last series (long rollover), Lower stock Futures’ Open Interest (compared to all time highs) despite sharp rise in the Nifty from March 2023 lows, FIIS long to short ratio in the Index Futures at 1.36 (Long build up by FIIS in the Index Futures segment) and aggressive Put writing at 18000 levels indicates that downside is limited in the Nifty and one should continue to remain optimistic for the June series.

India’s hotel industry has witnessed a robust turnaround in demand after the pandemic, led by the rising discretionary spending on tours and travels, revenge tourism, improving economic environment fuelling corporate travels and revival of mega wedding season and other cultural events

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted by Nifty 50 during the year

Introducing FY25E and rolling over our valuations, we now value the Nifty at 21,500 i.e. 21x P/E on FY24-25E average EPS of Rs 1020 with corresponding Sensex target at 71,600; offering a healthy potential upside of ~19%.

India stands out like an oasis in the desert, where rest of world is facing multiple challenges. Domestic flows too have remained strong and now FIIs have turned buyers. Nifty now trades at a 1 year forward P/E of 20x, which seems fair, in our view.

A stellar run up by PSU banks had all eyes glued towards them. We tried to analyse the factors leading to the rally and what is in store ahead