October 1, 2025
14573751-150x1501
At the CMP of Rs111, the stock is trading at a 2.0x and 1.7x on SSLe F13e and F14e BV. We believe, the company is trading at ~25% premium to NTPC’s valuation. We feel the premium valuation is justified
SBICaps brings to you the attached 1QF13 Result Review of Power Grid Ltd provided by its Research Team for your perusal

Power Grid 1QF13 Result Review I TP – Rs126  I Rating: BUY

Capitalization inline, Maintain BUY

Power Grid Corporation (PGCIL) posted net sales/PAT of Rs28.8/8.7 bn against SSLe of Rs 27.79bn and Rs8.64bn. Sales and PAT are in-line with SSLe as the capitalisation came in at Rs4.1 bn against SSLe of Rs4.5 bn.

Quarterly capitalisation is up 411% YoY: Transmission income in 1QF13 grew by a strong 32.7% YoY but fell 4% QoQ at Rs27.13bn. (Adjusted to revenue pertaining to deferred tax, transmission income is up by 10% QoQ). The company capitalised Rs4.1bn during the quarter. Income from telecom business came in at Rs603.9mn higher than SSLe of Rs465mn. Personnel cost was up 6% YoY, in-line with SSLe of Rs2.24bn. Other expenses was up 36.9% YoY at Rs2bn, 14% higher than SSLe of Rs1.75bn.

Maintains capex at Rs 200bn for F13, profit CAGR to remain at 15% plus over FY12-F14: PGCIL plans to spend Rs 200 bn (Rs 178 bn in F12) during F13e. Spike in capitalisation in F12, to drive 23% plus CAGR in Sales over F12-F14. We estimate PAT CAGR of 20% over F12-F14e. We expect the company to capitalise Rs185 bn in F13e, 42% higher than F12.

Management presses for no dilution: The management’s has guided for zero dilution as it believes it would finance its CWIP with 1-2% higher debt (which the management feels it would be allowed by the regulator). We had earlier estimated the company to go for 10% dilution in F15e.

Premium valuation justified for its stable business: At the CMP of Rs111, the stock is trading at a 2.0x and 1.7x on SSLe F13e and F14e BV. We believe, the company is trading at ~25% premium to NTPC’s valuation. We feel the premium valuation is justified as (1) low cost of transmission (~5% of the total power tariff) to lead minimal default (2) growth in other business (Short term open access, telecom and consultancy to grow at least by 5%) which percolates directly to the bottom line (3) better earning visibility (20% CAGR in PAT over F12-F14e, and leads the earnings growth in the entire power space with an increasing RoE). We are removing possible dilution in F15e from our DCF estimates. We maintain 20% premium to our benchmark multiple of NTPC to value PGCIL at Rs 126, through our average valuation methodology. Maintain BUY.

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