December 14, 2025
vishal mega mart share price target
Fast fashion remains a core driver for VMM, supported by weekly design refreshes and sharp affordability for younger customers

CXO 1×1: Gunender Kapur, MD & CEO

High confidence on Kerala TAM opening up in a material way was one of the major takeaways from our meeting with GK. Read on: (1) Strong traction in Kerala with a ~100-store opportunity; entry in Tamil Nadu will be in a phased manner to protect store economics. (2) Mix is premiumising, with premium apparel growing the fastest in a demand environment that is currently fully volume-led. (3) QC contributes ~3-4% of store revenue on average (range: 2-9%) with ~20% new customers. (4) Private labels remain a key margin lever with healthy penetration across core categories, though adoption varies by segment. (5) A clear value gap vs. local cooperatives and a differentiated role vs. DMart supports competitive positioning. (6) Execution remains strong with shrink (inventory loss) at ~0.59% and ROCE at ~70%, supporting a fully company-operated model. BUY.

Expansion momentum strengthens medium-term visibility

Vishal Mega Mart (VMM) continues to build a dense, repeatable expansion model across tier II/III markets. Kerala has emerged as a strong next-leg opportunity, with management identifying a ~100-store potential, a meaningful opportunity given UP currently has ~125 stores. Early traction has been encouraging, supported by compact formats and strong value perception. Tamil Nadu will be approached in a calibrated manner to protect early unit economics and ensure consistency across the model as the footprint expands.

Mix continues to premiumise

Fast fashion remains a core driver for VMM, supported by weekly design refreshes and sharp affordability for younger customers. Mix continues to improve, with premium apparel gaining traction while affordability remains a key strength for VMM in a volume-led environment. Rising digital exposure and improving affordability across small-city India continue to support steady fashion demand and healthier throughput across stores.

QC scales steadily

QC has scaled steadily, contributing ~2-9% of store revenue depending on market maturity, with a blended ~3-4%. Roughly, 20% of QC users are new to Vishal, making it an effective acquisition channel. Fulfilment is handled directly from stores, enabling efficient order picking without any additional space or separate inventory.

Vishal Mega Mart ICICI Securities

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