The spotlight of the Union Budget 2024-25 was anchored on pillars of a) Youth skilling and Job creation, b) Tax simplification, c) Consistent capex momentum & d) Smooth and Efficient accessibility of credit to MSME. On a broader level, fiscal deficit of 4.9% and 4.5% for FY25E and FY26E, respectively, signifies government’s prerogative to carve out a sustained economic model of inclusive growth and development. To sum up, the Union Budget reflects a realistic set of measure to drive long term growth ahead. Nonetheless, market would await long term roadmap for specific growth pockets
Pre Budget Expectations 2024-25 by HDFC Securities
We think that any correction post the Budget may be short lived unless impacted by some other trigger. However, retail investors will do well to review their asset allocation and equity portfolio and rebalance their excess holdings in equities (due to the rise in values) into other asset classes and in the process take some profits out of stocks that have run up much ahead of their fundamentals in the past few months
Downgrade Defence Sector on Super Rich Valuations: Nirmal Bang
The Defence stocks within our coverage universe have delivered 58% returns in the last three months, 75% returns in the last six months, 148% returns in the last 12 months and 776% returns in the last three years, buoyed by healthy order books, revenue expansion and the government’s major push for indigenization in the Defence secto
JB Pharma offers a healthy cocktail of a robust domestic franchise, niche CMO presence and measured exports strategy, Buy for target price of ₹2025 (15% upside): Kotak Securities
JB Pharma offers a healthy cocktail of a robust domestic franchise, niche CMO presence and measured exports strategy, aided by peerless execution. Having primarily grown organically until FY2022 and later on aided by benefits from acquired brands, JB has handsomely outperformed the IPM in the past decade by ~600 bps and currently ranks 22 in the IPM. Backed by improved MR productivity in India amid a healthy CMO order book and steady exports traction, we expect strong 17%/19% EBITDA/PAT CAGRs over FY2024-27E for JB. We initiate coverage on JB with BUY and FV of Rs2,025 (36X Sep 2026E EPS), implying a 15% upside to CMP
Gabriel India has ambition to grow ahead of industry & has given double digit margin guidance. Buy for target price of ₹600 (20% uppside): ICICI Direct
We maintain our BUY rating on Gabriel India led by double digit margin guidance in medium term, ambition to grow ahead of industry, presence with top EV players such as Ola Electric, healthy RoCE profile (20%+) and cash positive B/S. We expect Sales/PAT at GIL to grow at 9%/24% CAGR over FY24-26E. We value Gabriel India at ₹600 i.e. 30x P/E on FY26E
Top 13 stock picks for the Budget by Anand Rathi
Focusing on boosting growth and on stability through continuing emphasis on infra and consumption inducing measures, the Budget is likely to be positive for Indian equity. Consumer and infra/capital goods sectors are likely to be the main beneficiaries. Despite the likely acceleration of revenue spending and the continued high growth in public capex, with favourable receipts, fiscal consolidation is likely to continue. We expect the FY25 fiscal deficit to be 5% of GDP. There is little reason to expect a populist budget
List of Large cap stocks with significant re-rating by HDFC Securities
After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities. So far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectively. These performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24. Against the backdrop of these unprecedented returns, it becomes imperative to analyse if these are driven by earnings upgrades of companies or simply valuation expansion.
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