Motilal Oswal and its team of ace researchers deserve to be given an award for their relentless efforts in educating novice investors like you and me on the techniques to be adopted to find super-duper multi-bagger stocks.
The 18th Wealth Creation Study tutored us on how buying stocks that are growing at a steady and consistent pace can create enormous wealth over the long term.
The 19th Wealth Creation Study opened our eyes to the magical concept of “100-bagger” stocks. The Study not only explained the theory but also handed over seven potential 100-bagger stocks to us on a platter.
Now, the 20th Wealth Creation Study explains in simple terms the fine art of finding mid-cap stocks that are destined to become mega caps.
The notable aspect is that the technique is not based on a theoretical or classroom analysis but is derived from a meticulous analysis of real-life stocks like Ajanta Pharma, Symphony, PI Industries, Page Industries, Eicher Motors, etc which have transitioned from mid to mega caps in the short period of a decade or less.
The Study goes into masterful detail as to what circumstances take a company from ‘mid’ to ‘mega’ status. However, for our purposes, it is sufficient to note that this transition is most likely achieved by those companies that exhibit the following characteristics:
(i) The company must be mid-sized (M);
(ii) The quality (Q) of the business and the management must be top-notch;
(iii) There must be predictable growth (G) in the earnings;
(iv) There must be longevity (L) for the quality and the growth and
(v) The stock must be available at a reasonable price (P).
These six characteristics are captured in the Study by the acronym “MQGLP”.
Now, the all-important question is as to which are the stocks that satisfy the conditions of “MQGLP” and are ready to transition from mid to mega caps.
While the Study itself is uncharacteristically silent about potential stocks that satisfy the “MQGLP” criteria, we can find the answer to the question in the stocks held by the Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Midcap 30 Fund. It stands to reason that Motilal Oswal would have only picked those stocks for their midcap fund which they believe will transition from mid to mega.
It is worth noting that though the name of the Fund suggests that there are ‘30’ stocks, the portfolio presently has only the following 20 stocks:
Scrip Name |
Weightage (%) |
Max India Limited | 8.99 |
CRISIL Limited | 8.43 |
Amara Raja Batteries Limited | 7.79 |
Mindtree Limited | 6.84 |
Tata Elxsi Limited | 6.63 |
WABCO India Limited | 6.27 |
Sundaram Finance Limited | 4.74 |
Ajanta Pharma Limited | 4.65 |
Repco Home Finance Limited | 4.41 |
S H Kelkar and Company Limited | 4.41 |
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited | 4.26 |
Bajaj Finance Limited | 4.25 |
Voltas Limited | 4.12 |
Pantaloons Fashion & Retail Limited | 3.80 |
Jubilant Foodworks Limited | 3.40 |
Havells India Limited | 3.27 |
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited | 3.22 |
Gujarat Pipavav Port Limited | 2.82 |
Thermax Limited | 2.74 |
Power Mech Projects Limited | 2.08 |
One glance is sufficient to tell us that each of the stocks in the portfolio fully satisfies the “MQGLP” doctrine because each is a (a) mid-cap, (b) with top-quality business and management, (iii) with predictible growth potential, (iv) with infinite growth prospects and (v) the valuations are reasonable.
The proof of the pudding is in the eating. The Motilal Oswal MOSt Focused Midcap 30 Fund has given an annual return of 32% which heavily outperforms the CNX Midcap return of 13.72% and Nifty return of (0.2)% in the same period.
Period | Scheme | Benchmark | |
MOSt Focused Midcap 30 Returns (%) | CNX Midcap Returns (%) | CNX Nifty Returns (%)^ | |
Since Inception* till Sept. 30, 2015 | 55.92% | 38.80% | 17.00% |
Sept. 30, 2014 to Sept. 30, 2015 | 32.00% | 13.72% | -0.20% |
*Inception date: 24-Feb-14.
Now, I can tell you from personal experience that being able to achieve an annual return of 32% is no mean feat, especially bearing in mind that each of the stocks is a well-known and well-discussed stock.
This performance becomes even more impressive when you bear in mind that even highly acclaimed fund managers like Prashant Jain of HDFC Mutual Fund and Srinivasan of SBI Mutual Fund are struggling to make ends meet.
The important question that Motilal Oswal’s Study prompts us to ponder over is why we should scour the bushes and bother ourselves with junkyard stocks when such top quality stocks are available at relatively bargain prices and have the potential to give high returns for several decades to come!
Most focussed mid cap has returned 17% in last one year.It has been performing exceeding well,but in last six month it has been average.Mid cap in general has performed extremely well in last two years.There are also many other successful small and mid cap fund with long term history. Franknklin smaller compnies fund DSP microcap,Mirae emerging blue chip ,Rel small cap and sundram small cap funds has longer history of good performance .More over these funds has large assets under their belt and still managed good performance.Most focussed mid cap is recent and has to show its performance for longer term with increased assets,which will be a real test.I am invested in the four funds mentioned by me .Although Parshant Jain fund manager of HDFC equity and HDFC top 200 funds had not performed in last year,but Parshant seems to have bet on early recovery of Indian Economy and Modi affect, but elephant Indian Economy has not danced .His top picks like SBI and ICICI Banks had underperformed due to stagnation of Indian corporates .Parshant Jain has long history of performance,So people like me who had heavy bet on him since decades are ready to give him long rope and don’t mind at all his underperformance some time in between.After all he is proven Hero ,who may be out of form temporarily, but will definitly cover recent underperformance in long run ,when he get going right.I have large exposure of my portfolio on Parshant Jain funds since long.
Why not include va tech wabag
Is a one or one and a half year history of a fund enough to call it special?
Everything is trading at very high PE’s already and diminishes the margin of any saftey to investor
Can anyone share where we can find the top 300 companies list with respect to market cap?
Is any scope for KRBL LTD for inclusion in this club presently or in near future ?
Someone can elaborate technical /fundamentals of KRBL Ltd with one year price target ?
Mid cap are now priced to perfection, mid cap may still give good permance but now list will be more skewed . Don’t expect easy going in all mid cap universe.Any set back in company performance in mid cap will be severly punished.So stick with QUALITY.
Good Article- I liked Arjun’s i
guessing on MOSL’s potential multibaggers through it’s fund. In the research report MOSL is silent on potential multibaggers wrt their researched formula
Predictable growth in earning, aren’t we expecting something which is not possible.
I wonder if above stocks still have the potential of multibagger s… I doubt…
Pls compile a list of stocks that have not gained manifold & have potential left…