Today, all roads led to Dalal Street. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, the Badshah of Dalal Street, was, as usual, the first to turn up. He had earlier gone to the Siddhivinayak Temple and offered prayers to the presiding deity. He was sporting a bright red tilak on his forehead.
As he stepped out of his gleaming Mercedes GL 350 and began to briskly walk up the hallowed steps of Jeejeebhoy Towers, the crowd, which had assembled in large numbers since the early hours of the morning, broke into spontaneous and rapturous applause. The Badshah, dressed in a pristine white silk Kurta Pyjama, turned to acknowledge his admirers and waved at them.
The other legends, Radhakishan Damani, Rakesh Damani, Narayana Murthy and Nandan Nilekani followed the Badshah in their own limousines.
Ramesh Damani was in a particularly buoyant mood. He smiled broadly, posed for selfies and also exchanged high-fives with the crowd.
As the legends and the novices settled in and took their respective positions, the excitement was palpable in the air. There was no doubt in anyone’s mind that Coffee Day would list at a huge premium and lead to heavy riches for its investors. It was unthinkable that a stock founded by whiz-kid V. G. Siddhartha and backed by a pantheon of India’s smartest investors could fail.
The only issue of discussion was how much the premium would be. The novices and the punters were excitedly placing bets amongst themselves on the extent of premium.
The legends were huddled in a group of their own and having an animated conversation in a hushed tone.
An army of uniformed bearers kept a steady supply of paan, gutka and chaas to provide succour to the parched throats of the legends and the novices as they debated what they would do with the riches from the IPO.
After an agonizing wait, an elderly official of the BSE walked in. He was greeted with a loud cheer. He pulled out some officious looking papers and fiddled with some knobs. Soon thereafter, the monitor flickered to life and the rates began to stream in.
As everyone stared unblinkingly at the screen, there was a deathly silence in the air.
Then, the unthinkable happened. The legends and the novices couldn’t believe their eyes. Cafe Coffee Day opened at a steep discount to its IPO price. As everyone watched in disbelief, the stock plunged a whopping 17.64%.
There was an audible gasp from the audience as all dreams and aspirations of riches evaporated into thin air.
The Badshah instinctively knew that the game was up and that it was risky to linger around any longer. He got up and quietly made his way to the door. The other legends followed him, trying their best to avoid being noticed by the novices.
Ramesh Damani was in two minds whether to leave or not. However, a sharp nudge by Radhakishan Damani convinced him that discretion is the better part of valour.
When the shell-shocked punters came to their senses, they were understandably furious. With the legends having escaped by the back door, the punters vented their ire on the promoters and SEBI.
“IPO k promoter ko koi poochnewala nahi SEBI bhi kuch nahi karti sahi value qya hai IPO ki permission dene se pahle. New Govt aane k baad retail investor ko ummeed thee. fir small invester bhag jayega” Ghai77 wailed.
mony707 was very agitated: “this is another feather in cap for crime posters, UNTILL SEBI IS THER NOTHING WILL HAPPEN TO CROOCKED PROMOTORS” he claimed.
adaljaarun demanded that “sebi must be abolished as they allow the people to take investors hard earned money”.
“today’s louzy listing spoilt the true aroma of scintillating coffee in india” niftylelo complained.
“I ever seen any worst stock than this. This is what call as day light robery. !!!” talin wept.
However, a few punters were able to make light of the grim situation:
“SELL OR BUY A RUDRAKSHA MALA AND HEAD FOR HARIDWAR. YOU MAY LOSE YOUR SHIRTS AND PANTS OF YOU INVEST IN SUCH STOCKS.!!!!!!” bankerram advised.
“I dont want a CCD expresso, give me a deprosso ! haha” aditya3827 joked.
“Jisne isme invest kiya hai wo 10 saal tak coffee nahi pee paayega 😛” agreenstreet quipped.
realdan had advice for VG Siddhartha on how to assuage investors’ sentiments: “henceforth, cafe coffee day will only serve black coffee for free to all shareholders every year on this day to mark it as a black day in memory of such a great listing 🙂” he suggested.
In a perverse twist of events, the fact that the stock did not sink to a lower circuit became a cause for celebration for the novices. The novices were convinced that there is “strength” in the stock. Fortunately, nobody told them that a stock is not subject to an upper or lower circuit on its listing day!
Hey. Hey yo. So let’s take a step back and actually look at the company and its financials. Being an IPO, there is not much info available. The only info available is that the company has huge losses. Even a company like mind tree has a massive stake in coffee day. If the economy falters, shops and consumer driven outlets suffer. So that risk is always there. Now based on these small, light details, should you as an investor put money in the stock. The answer is a massive NO. The reason the top investors pump money, is the EVENTUAL brand awareness growth and monetisation of said asset. This can happen only with greater time and more money to invest by the promoters. Will coffee day make money. That’s up to thenpromoters. But they have proved one thing. Growth is their top priority, even at the expense of profit. If this is a risk drive strategy you can stomach, then by all means, invest. But don’t be shocked by the stock price. Because only one thing is for sure in stocks. The true value of a company will always be realized. I’m the D man.
Investing through the IPO route is rarely a smart idea. The premium offer price is generally much higher than what the intrinsic worth of the stock is.
Stocks have a 20% circuit limit on listing days. The 20% circuit is calculated from the “equilibrium price”.
If members here remember,I predicted right during IPO.I said Loss making Chay ki Dukan at such high price.Jo Na samjhe Vo Anadi Hain..Ha Ha.Sorry if some body is hurted from my comment .Always stay away from unjustified premium IPO.Never follow big investers if price is not right,it may be IPO or stock.
Such Poor response make market healthy.It also teaches lesson to ace investers also that never pay more than the stock desrve.We all small investers deserve all the credit ,who were less supportive of such high price issues. Always teach a lesson to those greedy permoters who think we are foolish.With such good judgment ,in future even so called big investers will start following small but smart investers.Apealing again to all my fellow investers to keep on taking such good decisions with out following the big investers with unlimited money.We have limited money so can not lose like big guns.
Haha. Well said
I like the comment ““Jisne isme invest kiya hai wo 10 saal tak coffee nahi pee paayega ?” . I think he will not drink for his entire life if the stocks behaves like this.
hahaha…i like the way u write Arjun!!
Keep up the good work.
All Big people have money to burn as small investors we must think twice before putting money in such high priced IPOs.According to me VRL was the smartest IPO with a lot of money left on the table for investors.
You should know full form of IPO which is its probably overpriced according to the boom intelligent investor by Graham buffet
Next in line is indigo.It will again be one more wealth destroyer
The lead bankers are equally to be blamed- Axis, Yes, Citi, MS, Edelweiss etc. I have no doubt that the big investors are furious at them and will get ‘compensated’ by the bankers through lower pricing of future IPOs- retail investors of this IPO and some future promoters (with lesser bargaining power) will pay the price.
Hi Arjun,
Even RJ has not invested in a startup fund Exfinity Fund. Eagerly awaiting your comments on the same!!!!
Always in India -I P O stands for INFLATED PRICE OFFER. Am I wrong ?
Well said Dear Shakti Khanduri,pl keep on improving our modern stock market vocabulary.
Its all a close knitted group. You will notice how this group buys stocks, and then comes on TV and Media and talks about its greatness. Classic Eg – Delta Corp. Even great value investors (!) will come on Wizards of Dalal Street and talk about the Stock very casually so the retail investor falls for the trap.
Not sure what for and why everyone is grumbling about! No one forced anyone to apply for the IPO. IF the legends have applied for it, it’s their call. They don’t have to justify to amateur investor jerks. And some are blaming the SEBI ! It’s the investor’s job to evaluate every investment and decide. IF he/she can’t, then stay away. Anyways, just because the stock tanked doesn’t mean it won’t stabilise and the same logic if the stock had shot up. I personally think INDIGO has a better chance and will do well, though I personally do NOT invest in airline stocks. As for poor Siddartha, this is the start of his troubles as he probably has no idea what it entails to please the investing community and pander to the quarterly result conference. He would have been better off consolidating and keeping it private. Though the fact could be some of the big investors wanted to exit and he was forced into an IPO.