State of the market – very bullish:
I am definitely very bullish on equities in 2015. We have a long way to go. It will be a very different market than it was in 2014. In 2014, we witnessed a major political turnaround and there is always a lag for the economic turnaround. 2015 is going to be a year of economic turnaround.
We have all the ingredients for growth, but a strong leader can really make it happen and that is what is going to happen. The government needs time. We had the political turnaround, now we are looking for the economic turnaround. It will take time. It is too early for people to expect so much.
Blue chip & fancied stocks will give no returns. Look for stocks like HPCL, DLF and Zicom (previously recommended) which have given very smart returns:
I am mostly looking at the midcaps and small caps. I feel there is very strong potential in the small and midcap segments still in 2015.
One theme I would like to present to the viewers is to look for management turnarounds. It is a known fact that around 75 per cent of promoters of domestic-listed companies are not very ethical and honest. They do not take care of the minority shareholders’ interest. Also, they do not really create wealth for all shareholders. So, this is the major block for people to look at small cap and midcap companies and some of them find it very easy to buy the blue chips — the blue chips of today’s or yesterday’s. The year 2015 will be very different. I will give you an example.
In the last two-three years, TTK Prestige was like the God of stocks — everybody wanted to buy the best stock — operators were there — big investors were there.
Look at the last one year. The stock has given you no return. This is going to repeat for many fancied stocks of today such as Kaveri Seeds, Kitex, La Opala, MRF, Ceat and V-Guard.
I am not saying negative things about these companies, but please see the fundamentals, the growth rate, and today’s price, earnings multiples as high as 70.
I am just saying that what happened to TTK Prestige last year will happen to most of these companies. See, I am talking from the stock point of view. These companies are great, well-managed with clean balance sheets, honest management.
Everything is perfect. But at what PE will you buy a perfect company?
People should look beyond those 40, 50 or 100 blue chip companies, whichever segment they are in. The real money can be made in 2015, if you look beyond these companies. I am telling you, we have hundreds of companies which will go 10 times and more in 2015.
These may be small companies. They may look like penny stocks. The managements may not be right. They may not be paying dividends, but that is the space to be in. Most importantly, some of these stocks may not be liquid and some of them may be listed only on BSE.
These are not the factors which should discourage individual investors from buying the stocks.
Am I the only one to spot it that this guy is mixing his blue chips .
Abhi,
Re-read the article you missed sight of the forest for a tree. He is spot on on what to invest in that is mid-cap, small cap and penny stocks but not the large caps. His use of blue chip stock messes up the article I feel though. These definitions are loosely held therein lies the problem.
I believe Porinju sir rightly said that 2015 will belong to unknown and relatively cheap stcocks . My pick for 2015 is unknown to many and we can call it mini flipkart . Lot of investors believe that their is no direct E-Commerce play available in listed space. I am going to suggest a mini flipkart in listed space. Please do your own analysis on it . It is nothing but Intrasoft technologies which is not just 123Greetings but it has Online shopping portal 123stores dot com in USA which is growing it’s topline quite fast. Recently , 123Stores reported record sales over the long holiday weekend in USA from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday of over $2 million, a 243% percent increase over last year .123stores dot com has 259% CAGR growth rate since inception but that didn’t translated in bottomline. Most of E-Commerce companies are investing for future and currently making losses .Venture Capitalist, Intel Capital has silently invested around 12% in Intrasoft technologies (check annual report 2014) and they are guiding company in USA and very bullish on 123stores dot com . They have good future expansion plan . They are going start firts in Canada then they can consider India . There are at least 4 triggers for this counter .
1. Masses still consider Intrasoft technologies as only 123Greetings dot com , once they will aware about 123stores dot com . It will get start good valuations . Early, long term investor are going to make good money . Even Basantji ( Maheshwari) told in Jan-1st interview(10:15AM) on zee business that there is not direct E-Commerce play in listed space . He may or may not invest in it for other criteria but point is even he is also not aware about any direct e-commerce play in listed space.
2. Experts are expecting listing of some E-Commerce companies in 2015 that will give another trigger . Most of them are getting valuations based (2x to 7-8x) on GMV(sales) while unknown Intrasoft technologies is available at comparatively dirt cheap valuations .
3. Like Intel if some other VC invest in Intrasoft technologies in 2015 that will also bring positive trigger .
4. Launch of 123stores dot com in Canada and India . But , management has indicated they first want to achieve targeted economical scale in USA Online shopping portal then will start replicating else where specially India.
I read same type of comment from you on other post too. Why are you spamming this blog.
I actually disagree with his points. What happened with TTK prestige was clear result of pump and dump. Stock prices were artificially raised by creating buzz in market. Many saw that coming and didn’t purchased it.
As per my knowledge Ceat have very aggressive expansion plans for year 2015, and I feel it might hit target price of 1400 before 2016.
I don’t know a lot about V Guard but I know they have also cleared that they will be expanding their reach from FY2015-2018 to other parts of country. Currently post of their products are sold in South India only.
HI,
Why Mr.Porinju is silent about his previous recommendation of Selan Exploration ? … It is Down by 50%
I am sorry to say that Mr.Porinju is just a trend following guy. It seems to me he don’t have deep understanding and knowledge about stock markets and investment basics. I am surprised that when he is looking returns yearly basis on every individual stock.When I read the last para of his message it looks to me just a speculative trader. We will create wealth by investing only in good companies with long term horizon, not by buy putting our hard earned money in junk stocks.
I the follower of porunju I met my portfolio very much in still by his recommended equity thanks for you.
I am the follower of porunju I met my portfolio very much by his recommendations Thanks for that
Sir what about selan exploration its down50% we hold or sell
no point in booking such heavy loss in Selan. Probably hold for a few quarters. Many analysts got it wrong in Selan and won’t admit it…. Dolly Khanna might just pick some more selan! 🙂
I am a fan of Mr Porinju. I invest on his recommendation of wockardt Ltd at 280-300 and get smart returns. What’s the next thy of wockardt sir??
Where is the nearest mental hospital to his office ?
His talk makes sense but it doesnt mean sell other performing stocks and buy junk
Porinju Veliyath Recommendation
south ind bank @ 17
unitech @ 17
dlf @111
anantraj@50
HPCL
Force @425
zicom@105
8kmiles@125
selan
Niit@42
om metals
shalimarpaints @152
rubfilla@24
linc pen @100
shreyas shipp
hinduja ventuer @315
saregana@115
daiichi@113
cairn@300
Porinju has some great ideas but small caps and very small caps will have risks…its your choice..looking at his stock reccomendations with the exception of HPCL or DLF I doubt if others will be able to withstand a correction, which is inevitable sooner or later…if you made profits then book them…and avoid fresh buys…I am attaching G Chokkalingam’ s views…very sensible and nuanced analyst…and his views on current market situation
Well I agree that I did not agree with Porinju’s thesis then, and I still do not completely agree with him now that you should not invest in blue chips,..but as investors we should always weigh our risk reward ..I also like the fact that Porinju is sharing ideas with others …it is up to investors to conduct due diligence before they invest