Ashish Chugh of Hidden Gems is developing a formidable reputation as a consistent picker of winning stocks. He conducts a brilliant and far-sighted analysis while recommending stocks, ensuring that the downside risk is low while the upside potential is high.
His recent stock pick, Selan Exploration, stands out as a good example of how one can protect capital while angling for high returns. Ashish Chugh recommended the stock in January 2013 when it was at Rs. 315. Today, the stock is at Rs. 510, giving a return of 62%.
Swelect Energy Systems is another stock that few investors had heard about (at least I hadn’t heard about it). In January 2013, when Swelect was at Rs. 140, Ashish Chugh recommended a buy on the logic that the company was debt-free, had a good dividend track record, was quoting at reasonable valuations and had good prospects. Swelect also has a lot of margin of safety, Ashish added.
Today, at the CMP of Rs. 296, investors are looking at a gain of 111%.
Eimco Elecon is another example of a stock that Ashish Chugh confidently called a “multibagger stock” in March 2013, when it was quoting at Rs. 155. He reiterated the buy call in March 2014.
Again, Ashish’s emphasis was on how the risk-reward ratio was skewed in favour of the latter and the downside was limited. Eimco Elecon is debt-free, has an uninterrupted track record of dividends for 20 years, promoter holding is 74% and the valuations are rock-bottom, Ashish emphasized.
Today, when Eimco Elecon reported block-buster results (pdf), delirious investors thronged the counter, triggering the upper circuit. At the CMP of Rs. 230, you are looking at a return of 48%, and counting.
Panacea Biotech is yet another example of a stock that gripped investors’ imagination as soon as Ashish Chugh recommended it. The stock was recommended at Rs. 108 and hit two consecutive upper circuits of 20% each. At today’s CMP of Rs. 172, there is a gain of 60% in just a few days. Of course, the floating stock is so low that it is doubtful that many investors managed to buy any stock after Ashish’s recommendation.
There are other examples like Nucleus Software, Vadilal Industries, Linc Pen, Sandur Manganese, GVK Power and others.
Of course, there are four things that we must remember before we rush in to buy such stocks indiscriminately. The first is that a lot of the explosive gains have come because the entire market is in the grip of a buying frenzy. All stocks, including those with dubious credentials, are flying high. You can read a report on this in the ET. When the frenzy cools down, small and mid-cap stocks will be the first to fall and they will fall the hardest, as compared to the blue chips.
Second, it is not that all of Ashish Chugh’s stock picks have become winners. Some have flopped miserably. But this is true of most stock pickers. Nobody can boast of 100% success in his stock picks. There is a high element of risk in such stocks, which Ashish himself points out in his recommendations.
Thirdly, most of these stocks are not at all well-researched by the investing community and so there could be serious issues of corporate governance and financial misappropriation that one may not become aware of until it is too late. Even the financial results may be doctored. In his article, How To Identify Neglected Stocks, Sanjoy Bhattacharyya has explained how the lack of analyst coverage is both a boon and a bane.
Fourthly, most of these stocks are illiquid. There may be cartels of operators who are rigging the prices, luring the unsuspecting buyer to buy the stocks. There are a number of instances where brokers have been caught red-handed by SEBI for synchronized and circular trading, intended to dupe innocent investors.
You also have to factor in your own temperament and risk-tolerance. Personally, I steer clear of unknown stocks and prefer to invest my hard-earned money in proven powerhouse stocks and blue chips. Of course, this does not mean we should keep our eyes and ears closed to new stock recommendations. Instead, each stock has to be objectively analyzed on its own merits. After all, all of today’s well known & reputed multi-bagger stocks were unknown stocks yesterday. As Sanjoy Bhattacharyya rightly says in the aforesaid article “Lack of reputation does not necessarily mean low standards”.
Yes I completely agree regarding extra cautious while dealing with low market cap companies.If you just see the basic things like Sales,NPM,OPM(most of them decreasing on yoy basis) that alone will tell you that there are no fundamentals backing the strong run of some of the companies in above list and when stock markets correct these will be hardest hit.
I have been Mr. Ashish Chug’s subscriber in valuenotes & now follow him on CNBC & have found Mr. Ashish Chugh as most consistant and most sensible stock picker. All his recos are backed by strong logic & rationale which I have unfortunately found missing with majority of analysts. Most others are focussed on stop loss & targets & they donot know a thing about the company. Mr. Chug studies all his companies well & then recommends. I am grateful to him since I married my elder daughter from investment in 2 stocks reco by Mr. Chug – one went by 6 times and the other 3.5 times in about 1-2 years. Whether his stocks go up or down, one thing I am totally convinced on is that he is one of the very few analysts finding stocks with genuinity & is concerned that small investors like us donot loose money.
his calls are NO WAY TO BE COMPARED WITH THE OTHER ANALYSTS LIKE BAKSHI, NALANDA, VIJAY KEDIA, ETC ETC
HIS CALLS ALWAYS CARRY HIGH RISK THANKS OT THE FUNDAMENTALS OF THE CO…
but having said that i have found that after he give call the stock goes to circuit( but how many could buy and resultant… all secondary)
That’s because he invest first and then advise us to buy…you buy…the price goes up and then he selss
you raised a gud point. But i donot think that is possible now with sebi checking the books of those giving calls in particular in tv and other medicas..
there is another similar guy who was a columnist in a leading financial paper about 20yrs back M who too give junk stocks and an interview with … same day circuit!!
follow arjuns blog and not these…
I think there is a minimum level of risks in the stocks he suggest. It is true that the stock prices go up when he suggests any stock and that is because the people look to buy his suggested stocks. Also, he is to big an investor to look for such petty gain. He is the kind of advisors who looks for multi fold returns and not petty returns of 5-10%.
I think the kind of background he provides for the the company is immensely beneficial and unlike any other advisors who generally suggest blue chip companies or high price stocks only.
NOIDA TOLL BRIDGE IS ANOTHER STOCK WHICH WAS RECOMMENDED BY HIM IN MAY 13 AT 22, BUT FROM THEN A LOT OF YAMUNA FLOWED UNDER THE BRIDGE AND IT DIDNT TO ANYTHING BUT AFTER FEB FIRST INTERIM , 1.50 RS AND IN APR WITH FINAL RESULTS 1 RE THE FUN IS JUST STARTING IN NOIDA TOLL AND THE DIV YIELD AT 9% NOW CAN EASILY GO TO 25% WITH .75 RE COMING IN EVERY QRTR AS ITS CASH FLOW OF 13-14 CRS RUN RATE OF PAYING OF INST. DEBT IS GETTING OVER IN JUNE 14. IN WHICH QRTR ONLY 6 CRS HAS TO BE PAID LEAVING THE FIRST 7 CRS OR .50 RE FROM JUNE QRTR TO BE PAID AS INT DIV EVERY QRTR. WITH LAND DEV RIGHTS AT OVER 90 RS AND OR STAKE SALE BY IILFS TO COME ANY TIME TO FREE UP ITS BALANCE SHEET TO FUND NEW ROAD PROJECTS, ITS QUITE PROBABLE THAT ASHISH CHUG HAS FORGOTTEN ABOUT NOIDA TOLL HIMSELF.!!
sir, iam your fan &follower..
ASHISH CHUG HAS FORGOTTEN ABOUT UNIVERSAL ARTS HIMSELF.!!
He strongly and continuously recommended the stock.
BUT BOX OFFICE FLAP!!! ha ha haha